Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Central forecast district
Issued at 10:50 PM EDT on Tuesday 19 March 2024
Warnings for Wednesday 20 March
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central forecast district
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday morning. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the Central forecast district. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Wednesday.
Forecast
Burwood East (37.8528°S, 145.1519°E, 122m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TOMORROW12° 18° clearing shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:56am EDT 7:22am EDT 7:30pm EDT 7:56pm EDT NOW19.6° Feels Like: 19.4° Relative Humidity: 65% Dew: 12.8° Wind: W 6km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Burwood EastNow20.4°cFeels Like:16.7°Wind:W 22km/hGusts:33km/hHumidity:58%12°Min18°MaxToday in Burwood EastPartly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h turning S 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.Tomorrow12°Min18°MaxMostly sunny. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h turning S 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Burwood East (37.8528°S, 145.1519°E, 122m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 12° 9° 7° 11° 9° 10° 13° Maximum 18° 22° 24° 22° 21° 25° 18° Chance of rain 50% 5% 10% 10% 40% 60% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)20
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)4
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SW SE S NNE WSW SSE SSW WNW WSW NNW W WSW SW Relative humidity 63% 47% 63% 41% 79% 42% 79% 52% 77% 49% 77% 45% 77% 45% Dew point 8°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Burwood East Rain Forecast
Burwood East 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Burwood East Rain Forecast
Burwood East 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025553654756677105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
Burwood East Rain Forecast
Burwood East 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Past 5 Days
Burwood East Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1514.1 °C 27.3 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1611.3 °C 29.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1714.3 °C 30.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1813.4 °C 31.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1919.2 °C 29.1 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Burwood East minimum temp history (37.8528°S, 145.1519°E, 122m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.1° 09/03/2024 Coldest this month 8.4° 05/03/2024 Hottest on record 39.8 08/03/2016 Coldest on record 2.2 06/03/1969 Hottest this year 37.1° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 6.7° 15/02/2024 Long term average 24.3° Long term average 12.6° Average this month 28.5° Average this month 14.9° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.8° 2017 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 10.2° 1965 Burwood East rainfall history (37.8528°S, 145.1519°E, 122m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.4mm 14/03/2024 Total This Month 5.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 53.1mm 10.4 days Wettest March on record 184.8mm 1970 Driest on record 4.0mm 1951 -
Year to Date
Burwood East Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 158.8mm 27.1 day(s) Total For 2024 137.0mm 19.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 73.6mm 26.0 day(s) Wettest Day 50.8mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 6.7°C Feb15 Highest Temperature 37.1°C Mar 9 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Burwood East Climatology
Burwood East Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.5 26.8 24.3 20.3 16.5 13.8 13.2 14.4 16.7 19.3 21.8 24.3 19.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.8 14.1 12.6 10.2 8.4 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.8 8.9 10.6 12.1 9.8 Mean Rain (mm) 54.0 51.7 53.1 69.7 85.6 69.2 71.2 79.4 82.1 85.0 81.7 74.5 858.2 Mean Rain Days 8.8 7.9 10.4 13.1 17.5 18.7 19.6 18.8 16.4 15.6 13.7 11.4 171.8