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Forecast

Buchanan (36.3057°S, 142.9194°E, 115m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms 17° 24°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:02am EDT 6:31am EDT 8:46pm EDT 9:16pm EDT
    NOW
    21.0° Feels Like: 19.9°
    Relative Humidity: 57%
    Dew: 12.2°
    Wind: S 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1004.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Buchanan
    Now
    21.0°c
    Feels Like:
    19.9°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    57%
    Thunderstorms
     
    17°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Buchanan
    Humid. Cloudy. High chance of showers in the southeast, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible in the southeast. Winds SW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 12 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Buchanan

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Humid. Cloudy. High chance of showers in the southeast, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible in the southeast. Winds SW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Buchanan (36.3057°S, 142.9194°E, 115m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Thunderstorms Mostly sunny Late shower Windy with showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 13° 16° 12° 12° 13°
    Maximum 24° 27° 33° 22° 25° 28° 29°
    Chance of rain 70% 5% 70% 50% 5% 5% 10%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW SW SW W NNE NNW NW WNW W W WSW W WSW WSW
    Relative humidity 80% 65% 72% 37% 39% 27% 62% 36% 63% 35% 64% 35% 61% 31%
    Dew point 16°C 17°C 11°C 10°C 7°C 12°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Buchanan Rain Forecast


    Buchanan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    HIGH
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Buchanan Rain Forecast


    Buchanan 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    8
    5
    5
    6
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Buchanan Rain Forecast


    Buchanan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    HIGH
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Buchanan Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    23.2 °C 39.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    16.4 °C 27.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    9.5 °C 28.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    12.8 °C 30.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    10.7 °C 32 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Buchanan minimum temp history (36.3057°S, 142.9194°E, 115m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.5° 15/01/2020 Coldest this month 9.5° 17/01/2020
    Hottest on record 46.5 14/01/2014 Coldest on record 6.8 12/01/2012
    Hottest this year 39.5° 15/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.5° 17/01/2020
    Long term average 32.4° Long term average 15.5°
    Average this month 31.4° Average this month 14.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.8° 2014 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.8° 2010
    Buchanan rainfall history (36.3057°S, 142.9194°E, 115m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.0mm 06/01/2020 Total This Month 7.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 32.4mm 5.2 days Wettest January on record 168.6mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Buchanan Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 32.4mm 5.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 7.8mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.2mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 6.0mm Jan 6
    Lowest Temperature 9.5°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Buchanan Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.4 31.4 28.2 23.0 18.1 14.6 13.7 15.7 18.9 23.7 27.5 29.8 23.1
    Mean Min (°C) 15.5 15.0 12.8 9.2 6.4 4.4 3.8 4.1 5.4 7.5 11.0 13.0 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 32.4 18.8 24.7 25.8 30.2 34.9 36.8 34.7 40.6 24.7 41.3 31.1 375.5
    Mean Rain Days 5.2 4.4 6.1 6.5 10.7 12.8 16.5 13.2 9.8 6.9 7.2 7.5 98.3