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Forecast

Bowenvale (36.9834°S, 143.6991°E, 186m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 16°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:12am EDT 6:39am EDT 7:43pm EDT 8:10pm EDT
    NOW
    12.7° Feels Like: 5.8°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 3.4°
    Wind: WSW 28km/h
    Gust: 37km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1011.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bowenvale
    Now
    10.4°c
    Feels Like:
    1.3°
    Wind:
    W 41km/h
    Gusts:
    61km/h
    Humidity:
    68%
    Showers
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Bowenvale
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely during the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 800 metres, rising to 1100 metres around the middle of the day then clearing by late afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon. Possible hail during the morning and afternoon. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning SW 25 to 40 km/h in the early afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 16.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Mostly sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the evening. Light winds becoming NW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then tending W 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely during the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 800 metres, rising to 1100 metres around the middle of the day then clearing by late afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon. Possible hail during the morning and afternoon. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h turning SW 25 to 40 km/h in the early afternoon then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 16.

    Forecast for Bowenvale (36.9834°S, 143.6991°E, 186m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 16° 21° 15° 18° 22° 26° 28°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 60% 20% 5% 5% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Moderate Slight Slight Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW N NW W W WSW SW SSW WSW SSE NW NNE NNW
    Relative humidity 77% 60% 73% 41% 70% 54% 77% 55% 78% 48% 68% 41% 61% 33%
    Dew point 5°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 4°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bowenvale Rain Forecast


    Bowenvale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 October to 31 October, 6 November to 10 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 18 November to 22 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bowenvale Rain Forecast


    Bowenvale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    2
    4
    5
    6
    6
    6
    5
    3
    8
    4
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bowenvale Rain Forecast


    Bowenvale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    14
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 October to 31 October, 6 November to 10 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 14 November to 18 November, and 18 November to 22 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bowenvale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Oct 13
    6.9 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 14
    12.2 °C 25.9 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15
    7.7 °C 21.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16
    10.9 °C 19 °C
    1.2 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 17
    7 °C -
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bowenvale minimum temp history (36.9834°S, 143.6991°E, 186m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.8° 03/10/2019 Coldest this month 0.8° 01/10/2019
    Hottest on record 35.4 30/10/1965 Coldest on record -0.4 09/10/2003
    Hottest this year 44.8° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.4° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 20.0° Long term average 7.2°
    Average this month 20.8° Average this month 7.4°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.8° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 6.1° 1982
    Bowenvale rainfall history (36.9834°S, 143.6991°E, 186m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.2mm 16/10/2019 Total This Month 2.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 48.4mm 9.9 days Wettest October on record 195.0mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Bowenvale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 442.8mm 95.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 307.8mm 107.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 320.0mm 109.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 31.0mm May10
    Lowest Temperature -1.4°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 44.8°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Bowenvale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.8 28.9 25.5 20.8 16.3 13.1 12.3 13.9 16.5 20.0 23.4 26.4 20.5
    Mean Min (°C) 13.3 13.6 11.7 8.5 6.1 4.1 3.4 3.9 5.4 7.2 9.6 11.4 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 30.8 31.1 30.6 38.8 48.2 54.9 52.9 55.2 51.9 48.4 38.9 36.5 517.7
    Mean Rain Days 4.5 4.3 5.3 7.0 10.5 13.3 14.4 14.2 11.6 9.9 7.3 6.1 107.7