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Forecast

Bogong (36.8052°S, 147.225°E, 758m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:19am EST 6:45am EST 5:43pm EST 6:09pm EST
    NOW
    7.6° Feels Like: 2.1°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 2.7°
    Wind: S 20km/h
    Gust: S 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bogong
    Now
    2.9°c
    Feels Like:
    -3.7°
    Wind:
    SW 22km/h
    Gusts:
    37km/h
    Humidity:
    72%
    Clearing shower
     
    Min
    Max
    Today in Bogong
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower early this morning. Snow possible above 1100 metres. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 7 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of fog and severe frost in the morning. The chance of fog at night. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around minus 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower early this morning. Snow possible above 1100 metres. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 7 and 14.

    Forecast for Bogong (36.8052°S, 147.225°E, 758m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Clearing shower Frost then sunny Late shower Clearing shower Frost then sunny Fog then sunny Showers increasing
    Minimum -1°
    Maximum 10° 11° 10° 11°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 70% 20% 20% 40% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Moderate High Moderate Moderate High High Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSW N NNW NNW NNW S SW SSE SW NW NW NNW WNW
    Relative humidity 73% 64% 65% 63% 85% 76% 86% 69% 80% 67% 79% 67% 90% 75%
    Dew point -1°C 1°C -1°C 4°C 2°C 7°C 2°C 3°C 2°C 4°C 4°C 5°C 3°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bogong Rain Forecast


    Bogong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 August to 4 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 September to 29 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 24 September to 28 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bogong Rain Forecast


    Bogong 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    6
    5
    5
    5
    5
    5
    7
    7
    4
    3
    8
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bogong Rain Forecast


    Bogong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and New Zealand.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 August to 4 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 September to 29 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 24 September to 28 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bogong Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Aug 18
    2.9 °C 16.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 19
    1.4 °C 8.6 °C
    6.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 20
    0.6 °C 12.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 21
    5.4 °C 15 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    5 °C -
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bogong minimum temp history (36.8052°S, 147.225°E, 758m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.6° 18/08/2019 Coldest this month -2.9° 01/08/2019
    Hottest on record 21.1 27/08/2007 Coldest on record -7.6 03/08/2014
    Hottest this year 38.9° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -4.6° 25/06/2019
    Long term average 12.4° Long term average 1.4°
    Average this month 11.4° Average this month 1.0°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.7° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -0.4° 2014
    Bogong rainfall history (36.8052°S, 147.225°E, 758m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.2mm 08/08/2019 Total This Month 30.6mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.6mm 16.5 days Wettest August on record 80.8mm 2011
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Bogong Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 415.5mm 108.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 364.4mm 87.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 308.4mm 90.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.0mm May 3
    Lowest Temperature -4.6°C Jun25
    Highest Temperature 38.9°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Bogong Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 25.4 23.4 18.6 14.5 11.1 10.5 12.4 15.3 18.9 22.1 24.1 18.7
    Mean Min (°C) 11.3 10.6 9.0 5.4 2.8 1.1 1.0 1.4 3.2 5.0 7.8 8.8 5.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 49.9 63.7 53.9 38.7 29.2 71.0 58.5 50.6 56.1 58.9 73.7 61.7 664.6
    Mean Rain Days 8.9 9.6 11.5 11.2 14.3 17.3 18.8 16.5 16.0 13.4 12.5 11.2 147.1