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Forecast

Big Pats Creek (37.7639°S, 145.7462°E, 220m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 13°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:21am EST 6:48am EST 5:49pm EST 6:16pm EST
    NOW
    8.5° Feels Like: 8.1°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 8.2°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: N 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1026.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Big Pats Creek
    Now
    8.6°c
    Feels Like:
    8.3°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Big Pats Creek
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog early this morning. Areas of morning frost. Medium chance of showers in the southeast, slight chance elsewhere. Showers falling as snow above 1100 metres. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost about the ranges. The chance of morning fog. Slight chance of a shower near the Otways, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Big Pats Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog early this morning. Areas of morning frost. Medium chance of showers in the southeast, slight chance elsewhere. Showers falling as snow above 1100 metres. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 15.

    Forecast for Big Pats Creek (37.7639°S, 145.7462°E, 220m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Showers increasing Showers Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 15° 14° 11° 14° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 20% 20% 90% 60% 60% 10% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Nil Slight Moderate Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WSW NW W NNW NW S S ESE SE NNE NNW NNW NW
    Relative humidity 87% 63% 83% 57% 72% 75% 92% 80% 82% 71% 76% 57% 64% 62%
    Dew point 8°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Big Pats Creek Rain Forecast


    Big Pats Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 September to 7 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 22 September to 26 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 August to 27 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 August to 4 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 11 September to 15 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Big Pats Creek Rain Forecast


    Big Pats Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    5
    6
    6
    6
    5
    5
    3
    9
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Big Pats Creek Rain Forecast


    Big Pats Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    HIGH
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 September to 7 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 22 September to 26 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 August to 27 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 August to 4 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 11 September to 15 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Big Pats Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    8.2 °C 12.5 °C
    10.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 23
    -1.1 °C 14.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 24
    5.1 °C 17.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 25
    3.7 °C 13 °C
    6.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 26
    1 °C -
    0.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Big Pats Creek minimum temp history (37.7639°S, 145.7462°E, 220m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 19.1° 18/08/2019 Coldest this month -1.1° 23/08/2019
    Hottest on record 23.3 25/08/1995 Coldest on record -5.8 05/08/1997
    Hottest this year 43.8° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.0° 26/06/2019
    Long term average 14.8° Long term average 4.4°
    Average this month 13.3° Average this month 5.1°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.2° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 2.7° 2002
    Big Pats Creek rainfall history (37.7639°S, 145.7462°E, 220m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 16.8mm 08/08/2019 Total This Month 84.2mm
    21.0 days
    Long Term Average 69.3mm 18.1 days Wettest August on record 121.8mm 2011
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Big Pats Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 485.3mm 107.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 416.6mm 113.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 399.8mm 110.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 29.0mm Mar31
    Lowest Temperature -2.0°C Jun26
    Highest Temperature 43.8°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Big Pats Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.9 27.8 25.3 20.6 16.7 14.0 13.4 14.8 17.3 19.7 22.7 25.2 20.5
    Mean Min (°C) 11.9 12.0 9.8 6.9 5.6 4.1 3.9 4.4 5.6 6.7 8.8 9.7 7.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 45.6 56.5 50.6 62.7 69.2 67.4 64.0 69.3 71.7 70.1 71.7 57.8 756.9
    Mean Rain Days 9.0 7.3 8.7 12.3 15.4 17.8 19.0 18.1 15.3 14.0 12.0 10.3 149.7