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Forecast

Bellfield (37.7518°S, 145.0454°E, 60m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 13° 26°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:47am EST 6:13am EST 6:14pm EST 6:40pm EST
    NOW
    18.2° Feels Like: 18.0°
    Relative Humidity: 80%
    Dew: 14.7°
    Wind: E 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1020.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bellfield
    Now
    19.3°c
    Feels Like:
    21.0°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Late shower
     
    13°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Bellfield
    Humid. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers this evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then increasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the morning.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    15°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Winds NE 25 to 40 km/h turning N 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bellfield

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Humid. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers this evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then increasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the morning.

    Forecast for Bellfield (37.7518°S, 145.0454°E, 60m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Late shower Clearing shower Showers easing Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 13° 15° 15° 10°
    Maximum 26° 23° 20° 17° 16° 17° 15°
    Chance of rain 50% 70% 60% 90% 80% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NE NNE N N N NNW NW WNW W WNW WNW WNW SW
    Relative humidity 80% 54% 81% 56% 82% 50% 67% 55% 72% 55% 79% 51% 85% 72%
    Dew point 15°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 9°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bellfield Rain Forecast


    Bellfield 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 September to 28 September, 1 October to 5 October, and 11 October to 15 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bellfield Rain Forecast


    Bellfield 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    4
    7
    8
    7
    6
    7
    6
    5
    3
    6
    3
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bellfield Rain Forecast


    Bellfield 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 September to 28 September, 1 October to 5 October, and 11 October to 15 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 18 October to 22 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bellfield Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Sep 15
    6.4 °C 18.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 16
    4.8 °C 21.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 17
    11.2 °C 16.2 °C
    0.8 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18
    8.2 °C 18.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 19
    11.3 °C 18.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bellfield minimum temp history (37.7518°S, 145.0454°E, 60m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.6° 07/09/2020 Coldest this month 3.0° 10/09/2020
    Hottest on record 29.0 19/09/2006 Coldest on record -0.5 08/09/2003
    Hottest this year 43.9° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -0.6° 29/06/2020
    Long term average 17.7° Long term average 7.8°
    Average this month 18.4° Average this month 8.5°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.5° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 6.4° 2003
    Bellfield rainfall history (37.7518°S, 145.0454°E, 60m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.8mm 13/09/2020 Total This Month 14.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 57.0mm 16.1 days Wettest September on record 108.0mm 2009
    Driest on record 18.4mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Bellfield Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 457.9mm 128.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 684.8mm 123.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 392.4mm 115.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 54.2mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature -0.6°C Jun29
    Highest Temperature 43.9°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bellfield Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.8 27.6 25.4 21.3 17.2 14.4 13.9 15.2 17.7 20.4 23.5 25.8 20.9
    Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.6 12.9 10.1 7.9 6.3 6.0 6.4 7.8 8.9 11.3 12.7 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 38.6 48.6 41.7 59.9 50.5 55.8 51.1 54.7 57.0 62.9 74.4 66.8 660.6
    Mean Rain Days 9.2 8.2 9.3 13.4 16.9 18.9 18.8 18.1 16.1 15.2 12.4 10.7 153.2