You do not have a default location set
To set your location please use the search box to find your location and then click "set as my default location" on the local weather page.

Forecast

Bellbird Creek (37.6545°S, 148.8146°E, 170m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 17°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:51am EST 7:20am EST 5:03pm EST 5:32pm EST
    NOW
    12.8° Feels Like: 12.7°
    Relative Humidity: 80%
    Dew: 9.4°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Bellbird Creek
    Now
    11.1°c
    Feels Like:
    9.6°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    58%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Bellbird Creek
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog early this morning. Slight chance of a shower in the west, most likely later tonight. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Snow possible above 1700 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm about the ranges late this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Patchy morning fog. Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1400 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bellbird Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of fog early this morning. Slight chance of a shower in the west, most likely later tonight. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Snow possible above 1700 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm about the ranges late this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 17.

    Forecast for Bellbird Creek (37.6545°S, 148.8146°E, 170m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Showers Showers Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 17° 15° 14° 15° 14° 14° 16°
    Chance of rain 40% 60% 80% 90% 80% 90% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 0
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N E N SW NNE SSE SE SSE S S SSE SSE NW SSW
    Relative humidity 92% 78% 90% 79% 98% 86% 98% 87% 92% 83% 96% 83% 96% 75%
    Dew point 6°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 9°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bellbird Creek Rain Forecast


    Bellbird Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 17 July to 21 July, 29 July to 2 August, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 July to 21 July, 30 July to 3 August, and 6 August to 10 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bellbird Creek Rain Forecast


    Bellbird Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bellbird Creek Rain Forecast


    Bellbird Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 17 July to 21 July, 29 July to 2 August, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 July to 21 July, 30 July to 3 August, and 6 August to 10 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bellbird Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jul 06
    7.9 °C 12.9 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    9.7 °C 13.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    2.6 °C 14.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 09
    3.5 °C 15.7 °C
    -
    Friday
    Jul 10
    5.4 °C 13.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bellbird Creek minimum temp history (37.6545°S, 148.8146°E, 170m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.3° 01/07/2020 Coldest this month 2.6° 08/07/2020
    Hottest on record 22.7 18/07/2016 Coldest on record -0.5 16/07/2011
    Hottest this year 43.0° 01/02/2020 Coldest this year 1.5° 29/06/2020
    Long term average 15.0° Long term average 5.6°
    Average this month 14.6° Average this month 6.3°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.1° 2005 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 4.3° 2008
    Bellbird Creek rainfall history (37.6545°S, 148.8146°E, 170m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.0mm 04/07/2020 Total This Month 8.2mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.3mm 16.1 days Wettest July on record 144.8mm 2011
    Driest on record 14.2mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Bellbird Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 497.4mm 91.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1564.4mm 68.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 299.0mm 75.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 552.4mm Apr 3
    Lowest Temperature 1.5°C Jun29
    Highest Temperature 43.0°C Feb 1
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bellbird Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.4 25.4 24.0 20.9 17.8 15.3 15.0 16.0 18.2 20.0 22.1 24.0 20.5
    Mean Min (°C) 14.7 14.6 13.1 10.7 8.4 6.5 5.6 6.1 7.7 9.1 11.4 12.8 10.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 43.4 57.1 56.1 83.3 83.8 109.4 64.3 62.6 61.2 62.9 82.9 69.6 836.0
    Mean Rain Days 9.0 9.5 11.3 13.9 15.4 16.7 16.1 14.4 14.8 12.9 10.7 11.2 143.0