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Forecast

Baxter (38.1954°S, 145.158°E, 60m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 14° 36°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:18am EDT 5:50am EDT 8:34pm EDT 9:05pm EDT
    NOW
    15.6° Feels Like: 14.6°
    Relative Humidity: 69%
    Dew: 9.9°
    Wind: NE 6km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Baxter
    Now
    15.8°c
    Feels Like:
    15.9°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    70%
    Mostly sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Today in Baxter
    Mostly sunny. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h shifting cooler, gusty SW 30 to 50 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Cloudy
    13°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Cloudy. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h shifting cooler, gusty SW 30 to 50 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Baxter (38.1954°S, 145.158°E, 60m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Cloudy Cloudy Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 14° 13° 11° 12° 11° 11° 12°
    Maximum 36° 20° 20° 20° 19° 21° 21°
    Chance of rain 30% 20% 50% 50% 20% 60% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N N SW SW SSW SW W SW WSW WSW WNW WSW W WSW
    Relative humidity 49% 29% 80% 64% 73% 63% 80% 63% 66% 59% 76% 62% 72% 59%
    Dew point 14°C 15°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 13°C 12°C 13°C 8°C 10°C 11°C 13°C 10°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Baxter Rain Forecast


    Baxter 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Baxter Rain Forecast


    Baxter 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    5
    5
    6
    6
    5
    3
    6
    4
    4
    5
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Baxter Rain Forecast


    Baxter 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Baxter Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Nov 18
    - -
    -
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    - -
    -
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    - -
    -
    Thursday
    Nov 21
    - -
    -
    Friday
    Nov 22
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Baxter minimum temp history (38.1954°S, 145.158°E, 60m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month -
    Hottest on record 41.8 19/12/2015 Coldest on record 4.1 05/12/2011
    Hottest this year 42.9° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.2° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 23.5° Long term average 11.7°
    Average this month - Average this month -
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.3° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.6° 1995
    Baxter rainfall history (38.1954°S, 145.158°E, 60m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    days
    Long Term Average 67.5mm 11.2 days Wettest December on record 146.8mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Baxter Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 831.2mm 177.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 569.0mm 129.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 637.2mm 145.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 26.0mm Jun13
    Lowest Temperature 0.2°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Baxter Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.4 25.7 23.5 19.9 16.4 13.9 13.4 14.5 16.5 19.0 21.1 23.5 19.4
    Mean Min (°C) 13.6 14.0 12.5 10.3 8.5 6.7 6.1 6.5 7.8 8.8 10.4 11.7 9.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 52.5 53.4 44.3 71.0 67.6 80.8 72.9 81.9 86.8 77.9 74.6 67.5 829.5
    Mean Rain Days 10.1 8.4 11.0 14.1 18.4 19.3 19.4 19.2 17.6 15.4 13.0 11.2 172.5