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Forecast

Baw Baw (37.8398°S, 146.2634°E, 1470m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Snow showers -3°
    snow showers
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:21am EST 6:48am EST 5:47pm EST 6:14pm EST
    NOW
    -1.8° Feels Like: -7.8°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: -1.8°
    Wind: WSW 19km/h
    Gust: WSW 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 10.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Baw Baw
    Now
    -2.0°c
    Feels Like:
    -9.0°
    Wind:
    W 24km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Snow showers
     
    -3°
    Min
    Max
    Today in Baw Baw
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the early morning with possible hail in the west. Snow possible above 1000 metres. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 13.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    -4°
    Min
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost about the ranges, locally severe. High chance of showers in the southwest, slight chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1000 metres. Light winds becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 5 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the early morning with possible hail in the west. Snow possible above 1000 metres. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 13.

    Forecast for Baw Baw (37.8398°S, 146.2634°E, 1470m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Snow showers Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Rain tending to snow Snow showers Snow showers Sunny
    Minimum -3° -4° -3° -2° -4° -4° -3°
    Maximum -1°
    Chance of rain 70% 30% 20% 90% 60% 50% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Severe Severe Severe Severe Severe Severe Severe
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW WNW WSW WNW W NW W SSW S ESE ESE NNE N
    Relative humidity 98% 90% 95% 83% 90% 73% 86% 99% 97% 92% 96% 90% 78% 69%
    Dew point -3°C -2°C -1°C -0°C -0°C -0°C -0°C -1°C -3°C -2°C -2°C 0°C -1°C 2°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Baw Baw Rain Forecast


    Baw Baw 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 August to 3 September, 8 September to 12 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Baw Baw Rain Forecast


    Baw Baw 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    6
    6
    5
    5
    5
    6
    7
    6
    5
    3
    9
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Baw Baw Rain Forecast


    Baw Baw 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 August to 3 September, 8 September to 12 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Baw Baw Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 20
    -4.9 °C 2.0 °C
    9.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 21
    -0.7 °C 1.4 °C
    5.6 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    -2.6 °C 3.0 °C
    17.6 mm
    Friday
    Aug 23
    -5.3 °C 9.0 °C
    10.6 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 24
    0.8 °C 5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Baw Baw minimum temp history (37.8398°S, 146.2634°E, 1470m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 9.0° 23/08/2019 Coldest this month -5.3° 23/08/2019
    Hottest on record 13.1 27/08/2005 Coldest on record -8.5 03/08/2014
    Hottest this year 30.0° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -5.3° 23/08/2019
    Long term average 3.0° Long term average -1.4°
    Average this month 2.1° Average this month -2.4°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 5.3° 2011 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -3.0° 2010
    Baw Baw rainfall history (37.8398°S, 146.2634°E, 1470m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 37.8mm 11/08/2019 Total This Month 255.4mm
    20.0 days
    Long Term Average 177.6mm 18.7 days Wettest August on record 277.2mm 2011
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Baw Baw Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 1108.4mm 121.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 1037.8mm 125.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 878.4mm 105.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 42.0mm Apr 9
    Lowest Temperature -5.3°C Aug23
    Highest Temperature 30.0°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Baw Baw Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 17.3 16.8 14.0 9.9 6.3 3.5 2.0 3.0 5.8 8.7 12.3 14.4 9.5
    Mean Min (°C) 8.6 8.4 6.4 3.8 1.5 -0.5 -1.6 -1.4 -0.1 1.6 4.2 5.8 3.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 98.7 108.2 102.0 147.0 136.6 163.0 175.3 177.6 176.8 157.0 162.1 141.6 1713.2
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 11.5 13.5 15.3 15.2 15.5 19.1 18.7 15.6 17.7 15.6 14.9 151.7