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Forecast

Batchica (36.1878°S, 142.3969°E, 104m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Windy 19° 43°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:38am EDT 6:08am EDT 8:38pm EDT 9:08pm EDT
    NOW
    19.7° Feels Like: 15.0°
    Relative Humidity: 25%
    Dew: -0.9°
    Wind: ENE 13km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.6hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Batchica
    Now
    21.3°c
    Feels Like:
    17.3°
    Wind:
    NE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    21%
    Windy
     
    19°
    Min
    43°
    Max
    Today in Batchica
    Mostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the southwest in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h shifting cooler, squally SW 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 41.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    19°
    Min
    43°
    Max
    Cloud clearing. Winds SW 20 to 25 km/h turning S 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall in the southwest in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h shifting cooler, squally SW 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 35 to 41.

    Forecast for Batchica (36.1878°S, 142.3969°E, 104m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Windy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Windy Mostly sunny Windy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 19° 13° 9° 11° 8° 10° 10°
    Maximum 43° 32° 30° 28° 27° 29° 31°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		30
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		31
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NW SSW SSW S SSW SSW SW SSW SW WSW WSW SW WSW
    Relative humidity 15% 6% 59% 21% 51% 18% 61% 25% 55% 25% 63% 27% 62% 25%
    Dew point 0°C -2°C 10°C 6°C 6°C 3°C 9°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 10°C 7°C 10°C 8°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Batchica Rain Forecast

    Batchica 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Batchica Rain Forecast

    Batchica 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    4
    6
    6
    6
    6
    5
    6
    6
    5
    5
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Batchica Rain Forecast

    Batchica 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Batchica

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Batchica minimum temp history (36.1878°S, 142.3969°E, 104m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month - Coldest this month -
    Hottest on record 45.0 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 4.0 08/12/1996
    Hottest this year 44.0° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year -3.0° 24/08/2019
    Long term average 28.7° Long term average 12.2°
    Average this month - Average this month -
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.6° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.7° 1996
    Batchica rainfall history (36.1878°S, 142.3969°E, 104m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    days
    Long Term Average 26.9mm 5.7 days Wettest December on record 123.4mm 2015

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Batchica Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 392.7mm 106.2 day(s)
    Total For 2019 272.5mm 103.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 217.9mm 104.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.0mm Jun12
    Lowest Temperature -3.0°C Aug24
    Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan 4

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Batchica Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.8 30.6 27.2 22.5 17.9 14.6 14.0 15.6 18.3 22.0 25.8 28.7 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 14.0 14.1 12.1 9.1 6.7 4.6 3.9 4.5 5.9 7.7 10.1 12.2 8.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 26.2 21.6 20.3 26.4 39.8 38.0 40.4 42.9 42.4 37.4 30.4 26.9 392.4
    Mean Rain Days 4.5 3.7 4.8 6.4 10.8 13.1 15.2 14.5 12.0 8.5 7.0 5.7 103.8

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