Forecast
Ballarat (37.5128°S, 143.7914°E, 441m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 19° possible shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:49am EDT 7:16am EDT 7:55pm EDT 8:22pm EDT NOW14.1° Feels Like: 13.7° Relative Humidity: 95% Dew: 13.3° Wind: S 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 2.0mm Pressure: 1012.1hPa -
Today Weather
BallaratNow15.7°cFeels Like:17.1°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:91%13°Min19°MaxToday in BallaratCloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 22.Tomorrow9°Min20°MaxCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Ballarat
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 22.
Forecast for Ballarat (37.5128°S, 143.7914°E, 441m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 13° 9° 8° 8° 11° 12° 7° Maximum 19° 20° 21° 26° 28° 22° 15° Chance of rain 80% 5% 5% 5% 20% 80% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)13
(km/h)19
(km/h)23
(km/h)22
(km/h)20
(km/h)12
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)24
(km/h)28
(km/h)24
(km/h)27
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SW SSW SW SSE SSE ENE W NNE WNW N NNW W W Relative humidity 90% 90% 90% 57% 86% 51% 69% 38% 75% 40% 71% 64% 79% 60% Dew point 12°C 15°C 11°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 13°C 12°C 11°C 14°C 6°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Ballarat Rain Forecast
Ballarat 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
11
12
13
HIGH14
HIGH15
MEDIUM16
MEDIUM17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
HIGH25
HIGH26
LOW27
28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWApr 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ballarat Rain Forecast
Ballarat 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20212022665765658657105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 5
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Ballarat Rain Forecast
Ballarat 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
11
12
13
HIGH14
HIGH15
MEDIUM16
MEDIUM17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOW21
LOW22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
HIGH25
HIGH26
LOW27
28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWApr 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Ballarat Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Mar 048.9 °C 17.2 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Mar 059.2 °C 18.2 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Mar 068.7 °C 22.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 076.1 °C 26.6 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Mar 0812.5 °C 14.2 °C 1.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ballarat minimum temp history (37.5128°S, 143.7914°E, 441m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.9° 07/03/2021 Coldest this month 5.6° 02/03/2021 Hottest on record 37.9 08/03/2016 Coldest on record -0.6 25/03/1965 Hottest this year 36.5° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year 4.6° 13/01/2021 Long term average 22.6° Long term average 10.1° Average this month 19.9° Average this month 8.3° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.2° 2008 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 7.0° 1987 Ballarat rainfall history (37.5128°S, 143.7914°E, 441m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.2mm 05/03/2021 Total This Month 0.4mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 41.8mm 9.4 days Wettest March on record 162.2mm 1911 Driest on record 2.2mm 1923 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Ballarat Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 125.3mm 24.3 day(s) Total For 2021 128.4mm 22.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 135.6mm 26.0 day(s) Wettest Day 40.6mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature 4.6°C Jan13 Highest Temperature 36.5°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ballarat Climatology
Ballarat Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.6 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.3 11.6 13.8 16.9 19.9 22.9 17.7 Mean Min (°C) 11.3 11.6 10.1 7.5 5.6 3.8 3.0 3.4 4.6 6.2 8.0 9.5 7.0 Mean Rain (mm) 40.1 43.4 41.8 51.1 64.5 62.3 66.2 73.5 71.1 65.8 55.6 50.0 684.0 Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.2 9.4 12.6 16.7 18.3 20.2 19.7 16.8 15.4 12.7 10.8 167.3