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Forecast

Back Creek (36.3536°S, 146.8383°E, 368m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 14°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:22am EST 6:48am EST 5:45pm EST 6:11pm EST
    NOW
    10.9° Feels Like: 4.9°
    Relative Humidity: 82%
    Dew: 8.0°
    Wind: W 28km/h
    Gust: W 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Back Creek
    Now
    9.9°c
    Feels Like:
    4.9°
    Wind:
    W 24km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    91%
    Clearing shower
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Back Creek
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere, clearing during the morning. Showers falling as snow above 1100 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h tending S/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    -2°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of fog and severe frost in the morning. The chance of fog at night. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around minus 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere, clearing during the morning. Showers falling as snow above 1100 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h tending S/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 14.

    Forecast for Back Creek (36.3536°S, 146.8383°E, 368m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Clearing shower Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum -2°
    Maximum 14° 13° 16° 14° 14° 15° 15°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 20% 10% 10% 10% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Severe High Slight Slight Moderate Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SW NE NNW NE N SSW WSW SSE WSW SE WNW NNW NW
    Relative humidity 69% 48% 69% 57% 72% 57% 81% 59% 74% 59% 74% 62% 76% 66%
    Dew point 3°C 3°C 0°C 5°C 3°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Back Creek Rain Forecast


    Back Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 August to 2 September, 3 September to 7 September, and 17 September to 21 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 August to 30 August, 6 September to 10 September, and 11 September to 15 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 September to 10 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 17 September to 21 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Back Creek Rain Forecast


    Back Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    6
    5
    5
    5
    5
    5
    7
    7
    4
    3
    8
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Back Creek Rain Forecast


    Back Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 August to 2 September, 3 September to 7 September, and 17 September to 21 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 August to 30 August, 6 September to 10 September, and 11 September to 15 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 September to 10 September, 12 September to 16 September, and 17 September to 21 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Back Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Aug 17
    1.7 °C 16.6 °C
    1.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 18
    5.4 °C 18.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 19
    4.8 °C 10.7 °C
    4.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 20
    4.9 °C 11.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 21
    6.0 °C -
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Back Creek minimum temp history (36.3536°S, 146.8383°E, 368m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.2° 18/08/2019 Coldest this month -0.4° 13/08/2019
    Hottest on record 24.3 29/08/1982 Coldest on record -2.3 02/08/1979
    Hottest this year 44.0° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.0° 23/06/2019
    Long term average 14.2° Long term average 5.2°
    Average this month 12.8° Average this month 3.5°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.1° 1982 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 3.1° 1994
    Back Creek rainfall history (36.3536°S, 146.8383°E, 368m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.8mm 11/08/2019 Total This Month 31.2mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 76.0mm 14.9 days Wettest August on record 174.7mm 1982
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Back Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 467.3mm 80.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 314.7mm 93.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 277.4mm 78.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 45.8mm May 3
    Lowest Temperature -1.0°C Jun23
    Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Back Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.0 30.7 27.3 22.0 17.0 13.3 12.4 14.2 17.2 21.1 25.2 28.4 21.6
    Mean Min (°C) 17.1 17.2 14.2 10.4 7.5 5.2 4.4 5.2 6.9 9.3 12.1 14.6 10.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 46.3 43.0 45.7 52.4 59.0 68.0 76.9 76.0 62.0 67.7 53.2 49.2 699.0
    Mean Rain Days 5.5 5.4 5.9 7.2 11.2 14.2 16.6 14.9 11.4 10.2 8.1 6.6 116.2