Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Victoria
Issued at 04:40 PM EST on Thursday 18 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Friday 19 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Thursday 18 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Central Coast, Central Gippsland Coast and East Gippsland Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
West Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 19 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
East Gippsland Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:10 am EST Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Ayrford (38.4157°S, 142.8595°E, 94m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW13° 15° clearing shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:33am EST 7:00am EST 5:54pm EST 6:21pm EST NOW13.1° Feels Like: 8.1° Relative Humidity: 82% Dew: 10.1° Wind: SW 26km/h Gust: 30km/h Rainfall since 9am: 6.0mm Pressure: 1019.1hPa -
Today Weather
AyrfordNow13.0°cFeels Like:11.1°Wind:SW 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:100%13°Min15°MaxToday in AyrfordCloudy. High chance of showers in the morning. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SE 20 to 30 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17.Tomorrow13°Min15°MaxPartly cloudy. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the morning. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SE 20 to 30 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17.
Forecast for Ayrford (38.4157°S, 142.8595°E, 94m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 13° 12° 10° 8° 12° 12° 12° Maximum 15° 15° 15° 18° 18° 13° 14° Chance of rain 50% 20% 10% 20% 70% 90% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 23
(km/h)20
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction S S SSW SW WNW WSW NNE W NNW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW Relative humidity 72% 64% 75% 67% 82% 71% 87% 59% 62% 69% 67% 62% 80% 67% Dew point 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 12°C 7°C 7°C 9°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ayrford Rain Forecast
Ayrford 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420256464565107966105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ayrford Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 148.9 °C 18.8 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Apr 156.5 °C 19.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 166.5 °C 19.8 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Apr 1711.0 °C 16.4 °C 2.6 mmThursday
Apr 189.6 °C 15.7 °C 0.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ayrford minimum temp history (38.4157°S, 142.8595°E, 94m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.8° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 6.5° 15/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.6 01/04/2014 Coldest on record 0.0 25/04/1999 Hottest this year 40.7° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 2.5° 21/03/2024 Long term average 20.0° Long term average 9.1° Average this month 18.8° Average this month 9.9° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.6° 1999 Ayrford rainfall history (38.4157°S, 142.8595°E, 94m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.6mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 17.0mm
14.0 daysLong Term Average 53.1mm 15.5 days Wettest April on record 130.2mm 2011 Driest on record 1.2mm 2001 -
Year to Date
Ayrford Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 170.6mm 46.2 day(s) Total For 2024 136.8mm 42.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 188.6mm 44.0 day(s) Wettest Day 74.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 2.5°C Mar21 Highest Temperature 40.7°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ayrford Climatology
Ayrford Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.6 24.6 23.0 20.0 16.5 14.1 13.5 14.4 16.1 18.0 20.4 22.5 19.0 Mean Min (°C) 12.0 12.3 11.0 9.1 7.4 5.9 5.5 5.9 6.8 7.6 9.2 10.3 8.6 Mean Rain (mm) 40.4 30.5 46.6 53.1 76.6 81.1 83.5 91.4 73.2 71.0 52.2 45.3 742.6 Mean Rain Days 9.1 8.7 12.9 15.5 20.4 20.3 21.8 21.8 19.2 18.0 13.7 12.2 193.6