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Forecast

Ardonachie (38.0633°S, 141.9574°E, 75m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Rain 17° 23°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:10am EDT 6:39am EDT 8:48pm EDT 9:18pm EDT
    NOW
    19.1° Feels Like: 16.3°
    Relative Humidity: 81%
    Dew: 15.8°
    Wind: SE 24km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am:  
    Pressure: 1011.6hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Ardonachie
    Now
    23.1°c
    Feels Like:
    19.5°
    Wind:
    E 24km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    55%
    Rain
     
    17°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Ardonachie
    Humid. Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h shifting W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    17°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SW during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Humid. Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h shifting W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Ardonachie (38.0633°S, 141.9574°E, 75m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Rain Cloudy Cloudy Late shower Windy with showers Possible shower Cloudy
    Minimum 17° 16° 15° 13° 14° 13° 13°
    Maximum 23° 18° 18° 19° 17° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 80% 20% 10% 80% 70% 70% 50%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		31
    (km/h)     		34
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NW WSW WSW S SSE ENE SW SW SW SW SW W SW
    Relative humidity 91% 86% 86% 80% 72% 69% 83% 71% 80% 74% 78% 75% 77% 70%
    Dew point 18°C 20°C 14°C 15°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 11°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ardonachie Rain Forecast

    Ardonachie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ardonachie Rain Forecast

    Ardonachie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    10
    8
    8
    6
    5
    6
    6
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ardonachie Rain Forecast

    Ardonachie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ardonachie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24     		13.4 °C 39.5 °C
    -
    Monday
    Jan 25     		19.3 °C 25.8 °C
    -
    Tuesday
    Jan 26     		16.0 °C 19.8 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    Jan 27     		13.4 °C 19.3 °C
    -
    Thursday
    Jan 28     		15.2 °C 22.5 °C
    -
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Ardonachie minimum temp history (38.0633°S, 141.9574°E, 75m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 10.6° 09/01/2021
    Hottest on record 44.3 11/01/2010 Coldest on record 4.6 03/01/2009
    Hottest this year 39.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.6° 09/01/2021
    Long term average 22.7° Long term average 14.1°
    Average this month 21.8° Average this month 14.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.9° 2012 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.9° 1994
    Ardonachie rainfall history (38.0633°S, 141.9574°E, 75m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 30.2mm 03/01/2021 Total This Month 32.0mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 30.5mm 7.7 days Wettest January on record 121.6mm 2007
    Driest on record 2.0mm 2019

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Ardonachie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 30.5mm 7.7 day(s)
    Total For 2021 32.0mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 7.2mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.2mm Jan 3
    Lowest Temperature 10.6°C Jan 9
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Jan24

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ardonachie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.7 22.8 21.6 19.4 16.8 14.7 14.2 15.0 16.6 18.3 19.9 21.4 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 14.1 14.5 13.1 10.9 9.1 7.5 7.0 7.3 8.3 9.5 11.2 12.6 10.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 30.5 29.4 37.5 48.6 71.0 77.7 89.6 88.6 69.4 53.0 45.8 42.3 680.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.5 11.4 14.3 19.0 19.1 20.8 20.5 17.4 15.3 11.6 10.5 175.0

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