Forecast
Archerton (36.8945°S, 146.2565°E, 936m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY9° 23° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:18am EDT 5:49am EDT 8:27pm EDT 8:58pm EDT NOW16.0° Feels Like: 10.1° Relative Humidity: 40% Dew: 2.4° Wind: WSW 22km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
ArchertonNow9.0°cFeels Like:3.4°Wind:WSW 19km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:56%9°Min23°MaxToday in ArchertonPartly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the east. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 27.Tomorrow10°Min25°MaxPartly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the east. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 30. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
There are no current warnings for Archerton
-
7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the east. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h during the afternoon and evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 27.
Forecast for Archerton (36.8945°S, 146.2565°E, 936m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 9° 10° 12° 13° 13° 17° 20° Maximum 23° 25° 27° 30° 34° 36° 39° Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 5
(km/h)14
(km/h)7
(km/h)15
(km/h)4
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)12
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction S WSW WSW WSW NNW W SW SW SE WSW NE NW NE WSW Relative humidity 45% 32% 65% 38% 55% 22% 42% 29% 45% 20% 42% 20% 32% 17% Dew point 4°C 6°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 4°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 8°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Archerton Rain Forecast
Archerton 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
MEDIUMJan 1
HIGH2
LOW3
4
5
LOW6
7
8
9
LOW10
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Archerton Rain Forecast
Archerton 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020356654754446105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
-
Long range rainfall forecast
Archerton Rain Forecast
Archerton 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
MEDIUMJan 1
HIGH2
LOW3
4
5
LOW6
7
8
9
LOW10
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Past 5 Days
Archerton Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0913.9 °C 33.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1012.3 °C 21.1 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 115.3 °C 23.1 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 127.7 °C 18 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 136 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Archerton minimum temp history (36.8945°S, 146.2565°E, 936m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.7° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 4.3° 03/12/2019 Hottest on record 37.5 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 2.4 06/12/2002 Hottest this year 40.7° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.6° 11/08/2019 Long term average 23.9° Long term average 11.3° Average this month 20.0° Average this month 7.7° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.6° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.4° 2001 Archerton rainfall history (36.8945°S, 146.2565°E, 936m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 22.4mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 23.4mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 43.9mm 8.5 days Wettest December on record 122.8mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for VIC
-
Year to Date
Archerton Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 658.4mm 151.2 day(s) Total For 2019 470.0mm 153.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 560.8mm 133.0 day(s) Wettest Day 22.4mm Dec 2 Lowest Temperature -0.6°C Aug11 Highest Temperature 40.7°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Archerton Climatology
Archerton Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.2 26.8 23.3 18.3 13.3 10.2 9.2 10.6 13.6 16.9 21.0 23.9 17.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.7 11.7 9.2 6.6 4.8 3.9 4.3 5.8 7.3 9.7 11.3 8.5 Mean Rain (mm) 41.6 43.3 38.1 46.4 55.8 66.2 70.6 76.7 66.8 48.5 60.5 43.9 657.9 Mean Rain Days 6.7 6.6 8.2 8.8 15.8 17.9 20.4 18.8 16.2 13.2 10.1 8.5 143.4