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Forecast

Ararat (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 15°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:09am EST 7:37am EST 5:32pm EST 6:01pm EST
    NOW
    8.0° Feels Like: 5.1°
    Relative Humidity: 93%
    Dew: 6.9°
    Wind: N 11km/h
    Gust: N 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ararat
    Now
    7.2°c
    Feels Like:
    4.0°
    Wind:
    N 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Windy
     
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Ararat
    Sunny. Winds N 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, mainly in the early morning. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h tending W 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then tending N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds N 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.

    Forecast for Ararat (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Windy Clearing shower Sunny Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 15° 13° 15° 12° 15° 15° 13°
    Chance of rain 80% 20% 80% 90% 40% 60% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Slight Nil Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNE WNW WNW N N NNW NW NW WNW N NNW N NW
    Relative humidity 83% 59% 82% 59% 79% 59% 86% 75% 90% 75% 94% 80% 86% 81%
    Dew point 5°C 7°C 6°C 5°C 4°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 7°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 12 August to 16 August, and 20 August to 24 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 July to 21 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 July to 30 July, 8 August to 12 August, and 13 August to 17 August.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2019
    2020
    3
    6
    6
    6
    4
    6
    7
    6
    6
    5
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 10

    ENSO status: Neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) showed a cooling trend over the central Pacific during June, though remain on the warmer side of neutral across the equatorial Pacific. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.5 through the month of June.The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -10.4 in June, remaining within El Nino territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the remainder of winter. Moreover, seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, with a 50-60% chance of an El Nino developing again later this year. The climate outlook for winter and early spring continues to favour an average-to-below average rainfall outlook across the southern half of Australia. A Positive IOD is now established over the Indian Ocean, with five out of six international models exhibiting a moderate-to-strong event lasting until late spring. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the second half of winter and the first half of spring. SSTs along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average, maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 12 August to 16 August, and 20 August to 24 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 July to 21 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 July to 30 July, 8 August to 12 August, and 13 August to 17 August.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ararat Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jul 15
    6.0 °C 13.2 °C
    5.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 16
    7.9 °C 12 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 17
    4.6 °C 13.0 °C
    1.4 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 18
    2.2 °C 11.7 °C
    1.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 19
    1.6 °C 11 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ararat minimum temp history (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.6° 05/07/2019 Coldest this month 2.0° 19/07/2019
    Hottest on record 21.0 30/07/1975 Coldest on record -7.3 27/07/1976
    Hottest this year 42.0° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year -4.8° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 11.8° Long term average 3.4°
    Average this month 13.2° Average this month 5.1°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.1° 1975 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. -0.1° 1997
    Ararat rainfall history (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.4mm 08/07/2019 Total This Month 43.2mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.3mm 19.1 days Wettest July on record 113.5mm 1975
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Ararat Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 316.5mm 81.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 328.8mm 50.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 221.4mm 48.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.0mm May10
    Lowest Temperature -4.8°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Ararat Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.0 27.1 24.0 19.6 15.5 12.4 11.8 13.0 15.2 18.3 21.6 24.7 19.1
    Mean Min (°C) 11.3 11.4 9.6 7.3 5.6 3.9 3.4 3.9 5.1 6.1 7.8 9.4 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.9 31.9 30.1 42.0 54.0 55.3 63.3 68.1 61.8 55.8 44.3 37.7 584.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 5.4 8.2 10.6 13.8 17.3 19.1 18.1 15.4 12.7 10.4 8.4 143.8