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Forecast

Ararat (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 12°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:02am EST 6:28am EST 6:19pm EST 6:45pm EST
    NOW
    14.5° Feels Like: 12.8°
    Relative Humidity: 74%
    Dew: 9.9°
    Wind: ESE 9km/h
    Gust: ESE 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ararat
    Now
    10.1°c
    Feels Like:
    7.6°
    Wind:
    SW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Ararat
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Light snowfalls possible above 800 metres. Possible hail in the late morning and afternoon. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h turning S 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching around 12.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning frost, locally severe. Patchy fog in the early morning. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Light snowfalls possible above 800 metres. Possible hail in the late morning and afternoon. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h turning S 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching around 12.

    Forecast for Ararat (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible shower Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Showers Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum -1° 11°
    Maximum 12° 13° 16° 20° 15° 13° 12°
    Chance of rain 30% 5% 5% 30% 60% 50% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Slight Severe High Nil Nil Moderate High
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW SSW SSE SSE NNE NNE NE NNE N NNW W W W W
    Relative humidity 79% 56% 67% 51% 67% 55% 67% 55% 73% 81% 79% 61% 71% 64%
    Dew point 5°C 3°C 0°C 3°C 3°C 7°C 5°C 11°C 8°C 12°C 5°C 6°C 3°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 18 October to 22 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 October to 12 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 10 October to 14 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2019
    2020
    6
    5
    5
    6
    7
    6
    6
    5
    4
    7
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 10

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) continued the cooling trend over the central Pacific during August, with areas in the eastern equatorial Pacific exhibiting below average temperatures for the first time in about two years. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.2 and 0.1 through the month of August. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -4.4 during the past month, which remains in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, three out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these are likely to reach El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until the beginning of the summer. The climate outlook for spring favours below average rainfall across the southern half, and in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. On the other hand, far southern Victoria and western Tasmania could see above average rainfall during this period as a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over Antarctica looks to enhance the negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM) over the coming months.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 18 October to 22 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 October to 12 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 10 October to 14 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ararat Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 11
    0.0 °C 16.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 12
    7.5 °C 17.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 13
    -0.2 °C 17.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 14
    5.0 °C 18.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 15
    9.7 °C -
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ararat minimum temp history (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.0° 03/09/2019 Coldest this month -0.2° 13/09/2019
    Hottest on record 28.9 27/09/1987 Coldest on record -4.0 07/09/1995
    Hottest this year 42.0° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year -4.8° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 15.2° Long term average 5.1°
    Average this month 15.1° Average this month 4.8°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.9° 2014 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 2.9° 1994
    Ararat rainfall history (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.0mm 09/09/2019 Total This Month 22.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 61.8mm 15.4 days Wettest September on record 168.4mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Ararat Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 446.4mm 115.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 439.4mm 72.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 338.4mm 77.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.0mm May10
    Lowest Temperature -4.8°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Ararat Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.0 27.1 24.0 19.6 15.5 12.4 11.8 13.0 15.2 18.3 21.6 24.7 19.1
    Mean Min (°C) 11.3 11.4 9.6 7.3 5.6 3.9 3.4 3.9 5.1 6.1 7.8 9.4 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.9 31.9 30.1 42.0 54.0 55.3 63.3 68.1 61.8 55.8 44.3 37.7 584.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 5.4 8.2 10.6 13.8 17.3 19.1 18.1 15.4 12.7 10.4 8.4 143.8