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Forecast

Ararat (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 13°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:12am EST 7:41am EST 5:17pm EST 5:46pm EST
    NOW
    5.3° Feels Like: 2.4°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 5.0°
    Wind: ESE 9km/h
    Gust: ESE 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1023.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ararat
    Now
    8.2°c
    Feels Like:
    5.6°
    Wind:
    N 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Ararat
    Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog. Medium chance of rain in the west at night. Light winds becoming N 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 900 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon, with possible hail in the south. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h shifting SW before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 11.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Ararat

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of morning fog. Medium chance of rain in the west at night. Light winds becoming N 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.

    Forecast for Ararat (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 11° 10° 10° 11° 10° 13°
    Chance of rain 90% 60% 10% 30% 30% 40% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    -
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE N WSW SW SW SW ENE WNW SSW SSW S S S -
    Relative humidity 95% 75% 91% 70% 86% 65% 87% 71% 87% 68% 91% 71% 86% n/a
    Dew point 6°C 9°C 5°C 6°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 5°C 3°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 6°C n/a
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    HIGH
    18
    HIGH
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Jul 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 July to 6 July, 6 July to 10 July, and 16 July to 20 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 June to 2 July, 2 July to 6 July, and 10 July to 14 July.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2019
    2020
    6
    4
    5
    7
    5
    5
    6
    8
    6
    6
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral (El Nino Watch) Sea surface temperatures (SST's) showed a slight warming during May, and remain significantly warmer than average across the equatorial Pacific. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.8 and 0.9 through the month of May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.9 in May, dropping back again into El Nino territory. Current consensus suggests an El Nino pattern across the Pacific Ocean will continue through winter and spring, with all eight international models maintaining a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, with a 50-60% chance of an El Nino developing again later this year. The climate outlook for winter and early spring favours an overall below average rainfall outlook across southern Qld, NSW (mainly west of the Great Dividing Range), Vic, northeastern Tas and the southern SA and WA. A Positive IOD is now well established over the Indian Ocean, with five out of six international models exhibiting a moderate-to-strong event lasting until spring. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall amounts towards the second half of winter and first half of spring. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain warmer than average, increasing the risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs), which activity reaches its peak in early winter. These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ararat Rain Forecast


    Ararat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    HIGH
    18
    HIGH
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Jul 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 July to 6 July, 6 July to 10 July, and 16 July to 20 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 June to 2 July, 2 July to 6 July, and 10 July to 14 July.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ararat Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jun 12
    8.2 °C 16.0 °C
    9.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 13
    5.4 °C 14.7 °C
    24.0 mm
    Friday
    Jun 14
    7.3 °C 13 °C
    1.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jun 15
    5 °C 14 °C
    2.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jun 16
    6 °C 15 °C
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ararat minimum temp history (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.0° 11/06/2019 Coldest this month 3.4° 08/06/2019
    Hottest on record 20.4 07/06/2005 Coldest on record -6.4 16/06/1969
    Hottest this year 42.0° 04/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.5° 12/04/2019
    Long term average 12.4° Long term average 3.9°
    Average this month 13.9° Average this month 6.2°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.2° 1991 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. -0.5° 1972
    Ararat rainfall history (37.2843°S, 142.9282°E, 321m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 24.0mm 13/06/2019 Total This Month 58.0mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 55.3mm 17.3 days Wettest June on record 124.6mm 1991
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Ararat Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 253.2mm 62.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 240.6mm 38.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 174.0mm 35.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.0mm May10
    Lowest Temperature 0.5°C Apr12
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Ararat Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.0 27.1 24.0 19.6 15.5 12.4 11.8 13.0 15.2 18.3 21.6 24.7 19.1
    Mean Min (°C) 11.3 11.4 9.6 7.3 5.6 3.9 3.4 3.9 5.1 6.1 7.8 9.4 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.9 31.9 30.1 42.0 54.0 55.3 63.3 68.1 61.8 55.8 44.3 37.7 584.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 5.4 8.2 10.6 13.8 17.3 19.1 18.1 15.4 12.7 10.4 8.4 143.8