Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central North forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Central North forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Winkleigh (41.295°S, 146.8461°E, 109m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 21° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:23am EST 6:52am EST 5:30pm EST 5:58pm EST NOW16.8° Feels Like: 15.9° Relative Humidity: 67% Dew: 10.6° Wind: NW 6km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
WinkleighNow17.7°cFeels Like:15.7°Wind:N 17km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:79%9°Min21°MaxToday in WinkleighPartly cloudy. Very high chance of showers later this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm later this evening. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h.Tomorrow8°Min16°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 40 km/h before dawn then tending W/NW in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers later this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm later this evening. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h.
Forecast for Winkleigh (41.295°S, 146.8461°E, 109m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 9° 8° 8° 5° 6° 9° 10° Maximum 21° 16° 17° 19° 18° 18° 18° Chance of rain 90% 20% 5% 5% 20% 60% 10% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)19
(km/h)35
(km/h)36
(km/h)31
(km/h)31
(km/h)20
(km/h)24
(km/h)19
(km/h)28
(km/h)22
(km/h)32
(km/h)31
(km/h)31
(km/h)Wind direction NW NNW WSW W W WSW SW WNW SSW WNW WNW NW WSW WSW Relative humidity 88% 73% 66% 60% 67% 57% 76% 64% 81% 71% 82% 75% 78% 61% Dew point 11°C 14°C 4°C 7°C 5°C 8°C 6°C 11°C 7°C 12°C 9°C 13°C 9°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Winkleigh Rain Forecast
Winkleigh 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Winkleigh Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 199.6 °C 18.2 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Apr 203.6 °C 21.3 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 215.2 °C 23.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 226.3 °C 18.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 237.2 °C 20.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Winkleigh minimum temp history (41.295°S, 146.8461°E, 109m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 24.5° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 3.0° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 27.7 12/04/1985 Coldest on record -1.5 26/04/1981 Hottest this year 31.6° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year 3.0° 09/04/2024 Long term average 19.1° Long term average 7.7° Average this month 20.3° Average this month 7.5° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.8° 1988 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.0° 2006 Winkleigh rainfall history (41.295°S, 146.8461°E, 109m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 22.6mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 35.0mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 51.5mm 9.2 days Wettest April on record 124.6mm 1992 Driest on record 4.3mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Winkleigh Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 169.3mm 29.3 day(s) Total For 2024 115.8mm 21.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 155.7mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 30.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 3.0°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Winkleigh Climatology
Winkleigh Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.7 24.6 22.7 19.1 15.8 13.2 12.7 13.9 15.8 18.1 20.7 22.7 18.6 Mean Min (°C) 12.5 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.1 2.9 2.5 3.6 5.3 7.0 9.2 10.9 7.4 Mean Rain (mm) 44.9 31.4 41.5 51.5 63.3 68.7 78.7 83.1 63.0 53.4 50.9 47.8 678.3 Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.1 6.8 9.2 12.3 14.0 16.0 16.3 14.1 11.4 9.8 8.3 131.5