Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Tasmania
Note: This Flood Watch is a "heads up" for possible future flooding and is NOT
a Flood Warning.

Flood Watch for North West and Derwent catchments

Issued at 11:29 am EST on Tuesday 20 August 2019
By the Bureau of Meteorology, Hobart.

Flood Watch Number: 2

Flooding is possible at some forecast locations in the North West and Derwent
catchments from Wednesday morning. A Minor Flood Warning is current for the
Huon River.

A strong westerly to southwesterly flow will persist over Tasmania for the next
couple of days, with embedded fronts.

Catchments are wet from winter rainfall.

In the 24 hours to 9 am Tuesday, widespread rainfall totals of 5-45 mm were
recorded in the flood watch catchments, with isolated higher totals up to 86 mm
at Cradle Valley.

Widespread rainfall totals of 20-50 mm are forecast for Tuesday, with higher
totals up to 80 mm possible in elevated areas. Additional totals of 15-25 mm
are forecast for Wednesday,

Showers are expected to clear during Thursday.

Minor flooding is occurring along the Styx River (in the Derwent catchment).
Additional river rises and flooding is possible at some forecast locations from
Wednesday morning, based on observed and forecast rainfall.

Catchment specific warnings will be issued if and when required.

Strong and dangerous flows will be a hazard over the next couple of days.

Catchments likely to be affected include:

Mersey River

Forth River

Northwest and Central Coastal Rivers

Arthur River

Channel Coastal Rivers (South East Cape to Gordon)

Derwent River (including Ouse)

Flood warnings are current for the following catchments: Huon River.

Note: This Flood Watch is a "heads up" for possible future flooding and is NOT
a Flood Warning. The Bureau of Meteorology does not provide a flood warning
service for all of the catchments covered by this flood watch. For more
information on the Flood Watch Service:
http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml

For the latest warnings see www.bom.gov.au/tas/warnings
For the latest rainfall and river level information see www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood

For the latest weather forecast see www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts

Flood Safety Advice:
FloodSafe advice is available at www.ses.tas.gov.au
Road closure information is available at www.police.tas.gov.au

For emergency assistance call the SES on telephone number 132 500.
For life threatening situations, call 000 immediately.

Next issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 11:30 am EST on Wednesday 21 August 2019.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS

For people in King Island, Furneaux Islands, Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, Central Plateau and parts of North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North and Midlands Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:27 am Tuesday, 20 August 2019.

DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY

Weather Situation:
A cold front embedded in a strong and gusty west to southwesterly flow will cross Tasmania during Tuesday afternoon and evening. Strong and gusty west to southwesterly winds will continue through Wednesday and then increase again on Wednesday evening as another cold front crosses Tasmania.

DAMAGING WESTERLY WINDS are possible in all western, southern and central areas, as well as over the far northeast and the Bass Strait Islands. DAMAGING WINDS averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of around 100 km/h are possible from around midday Tuesday, although elevated areas above 400m may experience gusts over 110km/h.

Winds will begin to ease over southeast Tasmania during Tuesday evening, with gusts of 70 to 80 km/h still likely. However DAMAGING WINDS will continue overnight and through Wednesday in western and central areas, and through Bass Strait.

DAMAGING WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS will redevelop over southern and eastern Tasmania on Wednesday evening.

Locations which may be affected include Currie, Smithton, Oatlands, Whitemark, Orford, Strahan, Hobart, and Geeveston.

Maximum wind gust observations over the past 6 hours include: 131 km/h at kunanyi/Mt Wellington, 128 km/h at Maatsuyker Island, 106 km/h at Cape Grim, and 76 km/h at Hobart.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.


The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Tuesday.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Road Weather Alert for Tasmania
for Western, Central Plateau, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast
districts.

Issued at 10:04 am EST on Tuesday 20 August 2019.

Reduced visibility in heavy rain will make road conditions dangerous during
Tuesday in parts of the Western, Central Plateau, Upper Derwent Valley and
South East forecast districts.
For information on any road closures, please contact your local council or the Police.
The next alert will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Tuesday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Updated Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:03 am EST on Tuesday 20 August 2019
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 21 August 2019.

Wind Warnings for Tuesday 20 August
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel,
Central Plateau Lakes, South West Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North
Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Lower East
Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following area:
Upper East Coast

Wind Warnings for Wednesday 21 August
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Far North West Coast,
Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island,
Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast and
Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Central Plateau Lakes and South West Lakes

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EST Tuesday.

================================================================================
Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local Waters Forecast at
http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind, wave and
weather conditions for these coastal zones.
================================================================================

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Warning to Sheep Graziers
for the Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent
Valley and South East forecast districts.

Issued at 10:03 am EST on Tuesday 20 August 2019.

Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, rain and showers and strong
westerly winds are expected during Tuesday and Wednesday. Areas likely to be
affected include the Furneaux Islands, Upper Derwent Valley and South East
forecast districts and parts of the North West Coast, Midlands and East Coast
forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to
these conditions.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Tuesday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Tasmania

Minor Flood Warning for the Huon River

Issued at 8:18 am EST on Tuesday 20 August 2019
By Bureau of Meteorology, Hobart

Flood Warning Number: 2

Minor flooding is occurring along the Huon River at Tahune Bridge and is
expected to extend downstream to Judbury and Huonville from Tuesday morning.
Additional river rises are expected during Tuesday based on observed and
forecast rainfall.

In the 24 hours to 8 am Tuesday 10-50 mm of rainfall was recorded in the Huon
catchment, with isolated higher totals up to 75 mm at North Boomerang (Mt
Bobs).

A further 20-40 mm of rainfall is forecast for the remainder of Tuesday, with
up to 70 mm possible in elevated areas.

Strong and dangerous flows will be a hazard over the next couple of days.

Huon River above Tahune:
Minor flooding is occurring along the upper Huon River above Tahune. The Huon
River at Harrisons Opening is 6.40 m and steady.

Picton River:
Strong river rises are occurring along the Picton River.

Huon River - Tahune to Judbury:
Minor flooding is occurring along the Huon River - Tahune to Judbury.

The Huon River at Tahune Bridge is currently at 5.00 metres and rising. The
Huon River at Tahune Bridge is expected to remain above the minor flood level
(4.00 m) during Tuesday. The river level may peak between 5.30 and 5.60 metres
Tuesday evening, based on observed and forecast rainfall.

The Huon River at Judbury is currently at 3.25 metres and rising. The Huon
River at Judbury will exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Tuesday morning.
The river level may peak between 5.00 and 5.40 metres Tuesday evening, based on
observed and forecast rainfall.

Huon River around Huonville:
Minor flooding is likely along the Huon River around Huonville.

The Huon River at Huonville is currently at 2.30 metres and rising. The Huon
River at Huonville is likely to exceed the minor flood level (3.00 m) Tuesday
afternoon. The river level may peak between 3.30 and 3.60 metres Tuesday
evening, based on observed and forecast rainfall.

Flood Safety Advice:
FloodSafe advice is available at www.ses.tas.gov.au
Road closure information is available at www.police.tas.gov.au

For emergency assistance call the SES on telephone number 132 500.
For life threatening situations, call 000 immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 04:00 pm EST on Tuesday 20 August 2019.

Latest River Heights:
Huon River at Harrisons Opening, 6.40, Steady, 07:59 AM TUE 20/08/19
Huon River at Tahune Bridge, 5.00, Rising, 08:08 AM TUE 20/08/19
Huon River at Judbury, 3.25, Rising, 06:00 AM TUE 20/08/19
Huon River at Huonville, 2.30, Rising, 08:08 AM TUE 20/08/19

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and
river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood. The latest weather
forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts.