Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Tasmania
Minor Flood Warning For The St Pauls River
Issued at 10:59 AM EST on Saturday 11 May 2024
by Bureau of Meteorology, Hobart.
Flood Warning Number: 2
MINOR FLOODING OCCURRING ALONG THE ST PAULS RIVER AT LEWIS HILL
Rainfall totals of up to 25 mm have been recorded in the St Pauls River catchment in the 24 hours to 9:00 am Saturday. Showers to continue into the east during Sunday.
A minor flood peak is occurring along the St Pauls River.
St Pauls River:
Minor flooding is occurring along the St Pauls River.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill is currently peaking around 1.85 metres, with minor flooding.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill is likely to remain around the minor flood level (1.70 m) during Saturday. The river level may fall below the minor flood level (1.70 m) Sunday morning.
Flood Safety Advice:
SES Flood Warnings can be found at www.TasALERT.com
Flood and storm safety advice is available at www.ses.tas.gov.au
Road closure information is available at www.police.tas.gov.au}
For emergency assistance call the SES on telephone number 132 500.
For life threatening situations, call 000 immediately.
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Sunday 12 May 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Break O'Day River at Killymoon,0.89,Steady,09:00 AM SAT 11/05/24
South Esk River at Upper Esk Road Bridge,0.62,Steady,07:45 AM SAT 11/05/24
South Esk River at Fingal,1.68,Rising,10:31 AM SAT 11/05/24
St Pauls River at Lewis Hill,1.85,Steady,09:46 AM SAT 11/05/24
St Pauls River above Avoca,0.63,Steady,09:00 AM SAT 11/05/24
South Esk River at Llewellyn,1.30,Steady,10:15 AM SAT 11/05/24
South Esk River at Perth,1.05,Steady,10:38 AM SAT 11/05/24
South Esk River at Longford,0.35,Steady,10:11 AM SAT 11/05/24
South Esk River at Trevallyn Pond,125.51,Steady,10:15 AM SAT 11/05/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts.
Forecast
Tower Hill (41.5404°S, 147.8759°E, 688m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 12° late shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:37am EST 7:07am EST 5:02pm EST 5:32pm EST NOW11.5° Feels Like: 10.2° Relative Humidity: 93% Dew: 10.4° Wind: N 7km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Tower HillNow15.0°cFeels Like:13.8°Wind:S 9km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:81%8°Min12°MaxToday in Tower HillPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 17.Tomorrow7°Min12°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 19. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 17.
Forecast for Tower Hill (41.5404°S, 147.8759°E, 688m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 8° 7° 7° 5° 5° 6° 8° Maximum 12° 12° 13° 12° 13° 14° 13° Chance of rain 60% 80% 70% 10% 10% 5% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 3
(km/h)6
(km/h)3
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)7
(km/h)7
(km/h)Wind direction SSE E NE NE N NW W WNW W W WNW WNW WNW W Relative humidity 94% 78% 92% 83% 93% 78% 76% 61% 76% 64% 77% 64% 73% 64% Dew point 9°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tower Hill Rain Forecast
Tower Hill 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar2024202556555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Tower Hill Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
May 07-1.4 °C 16.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
May 080.9 °C 15.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
May 099.9 °C 16.0 °C 6.8 mmFriday
May 108.1 °C 14.4 °C 6.8 mmSaturday
May 116.5 °C 14.2 °C 2.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tower Hill minimum temp history (41.5404°S, 147.8759°E, 688m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 17.3° 07/05/2024 Coldest this month 5.1° 02/05/2024 Hottest on record 23.7 09/05/2002 Coldest on record 0.0 23/05/2001 Hottest this year 32.7° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 3.6° 30/04/2024 Long term average 16.1° Long term average 7.2° Average this month 16.1° Average this month 7.7° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.9° 2007 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 5.9° 2011 Tower Hill rainfall history (41.5404°S, 147.8759°E, 688m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 31.6mm 10/05/2024 Total This Month 39.6mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 48.0mm 13.7 days Wettest May on record 179.0mm 2012 Driest on record 6.4mm 2009 -
Year to Date
Tower Hill Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 292.8mm 54.3 day(s) Total For 2024 307.0mm 47.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 302.4mm 57.0 day(s) Wettest Day 84.6mm Feb22 Lowest Temperature 3.6°C Apr30 Highest Temperature 32.7°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tower Hill Climatology
Tower Hill Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.0 22.1 21.1 18.6 16.1 14.1 13.6 14.3 16.1 17.6 19.5 21.3 18.1 Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.4 11.9 9.7 7.2 5.6 4.9 5.2 6.7 8.2 10.3 11.8 9.0 Mean Rain (mm) 65.9 63.5 65.1 50.3 48.0 65.9 43.1 54.9 53.2 71.0 77.9 59.1 719.1 Mean Rain Days 8.7 10.2 9.6 12.1 13.7 17.0 17.0 15.6 12.2 12.6 11.4 10.7 150.1