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Forecast

Tomahawk (40.8693°S, 147.7546°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Rain developing 13° 26°
    rain developing
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:32am EDT 6:04am EDT 8:40pm EDT 9:11pm EDT
    NOW
    21.9° Feels Like: 19.4°
    Relative Humidity: 63%
    Dew: 14.5°
    Wind: NNE 20km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1000.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Tomahawk
    Now
    24.3°c
    Feels Like:
    17.8°
    Wind:
    N 33km/h
    Gusts:
    48km/h
    Humidity:
    40%
    Rain developing
     
    13°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Tomahawk
    Partly cloudy. High chance of rain late this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with rain
    14°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 35 to 50 km/h in the early afternoon then turning W 25 to 40 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of rain late this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to high 20s.

    Forecast for Tomahawk (40.8693°S, 147.7546°E, 1m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Rain developing Windy with rain Windy with showers Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 14° 13° 15° 16° 13° 15°
    Maximum 26° 18° 20° 22° 22° 22° 22°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 50% 50% 50% 50% 30%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NE NW NW WNW WNW WNW NW WNW WNW W NW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 76% 58% 91% 78% 75% 66% 80% 78% 84% 71% 76% 72% 72% 63%
    Dew point 14°C 17°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 18°C 16°C 17°C 13°C 17°C 13°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tomahawk Rain Forecast


    Tomahawk 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tomahawk Rain Forecast


    Tomahawk 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tomahawk Rain Forecast


    Tomahawk 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tomahawk Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    13.9 °C 18.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    15.2 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    15.3 °C 18.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    13.8 °C 18.3 °C
    2.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    13.8 °C 26 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tomahawk minimum temp history (40.8693°S, 147.7546°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.3° 10/01/2020 Coldest this month 11.8° 12/01/2020
    Hottest on record 31.9 29/01/2009 Coldest on record 8.6 02/01/2009
    Hottest this year 25.3° 10/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.8° 12/01/2020
    Long term average 20.9° Long term average 14.9°
    Average this month 20.3° Average this month 15.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.9° 2012 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.5° 2004
    Tomahawk rainfall history (40.8693°S, 147.7546°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.8mm 11/01/2020 Total This Month 8.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.9mm 7.6 days Wettest January on record 182.0mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Tomahawk Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 47.9mm 7.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 8.6mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.8mm 2.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 4.8mm Jan11
    Lowest Temperature 11.8°C Jan12
    Highest Temperature 25.3°C Jan10
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tomahawk Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 20.9 21.2 20.5 18.3 15.9 14.0 13.2 13.5 14.7 16.0 17.7 19.4 17.2
    Mean Min (°C) 14.9 15.4 14.5 12.8 10.8 9.3 8.4 8.4 9.2 10.2 11.9 13.4 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 47.9 38.3 62.1 49.5 60.6 61.2 66.7 62.4 59.8 49.6 67.9 50.2 677.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.6 8.1 9.4 12.9 14.9 17.3 18.3 17.4 14.0 11.9 11.4 9.4 137.7