Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 04:05 PM EST on Saturday 20 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 21 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Saturday 20 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast and South West Coast
Wind Warnings for Sunday 21 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast and South West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EST Sunday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Surges Bay (43.2181°S, 146.9897°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 18° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:22am EST 6:51am EST 5:31pm EST 6:00pm EST NOW17.8° Feels Like: 13.9° Relative Humidity: 49% Dew: 7.0° Wind: SW 17km/h Gust: 24km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Surges BayNow17.4°cFeels Like:14.4°Wind:SE 13km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:54%6°Min18°MaxToday in Surges BayPartly cloudy. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 19.Tomorrow9°Min19°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 19.
Forecast for Surges Bay (43.2181°S, 146.9897°E, 10m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 6° 9° 9° 10° 7° 7° 7° Maximum 18° 19° 20° 18° 15° 13° 15° Chance of rain 10% 5% 30% 60% 80% 40% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction NW W WNW W NW WNW NW W WNW WNW W W WNW W Relative humidity 77% 62% 77% 65% 78% 66% 74% 67% 81% 74% 74% 68% 81% 74% Dew point 8°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 10°C 11°C 7°C 10°C 6°C 6°C 10°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Surges Bay Rain Forecast
Surges Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Surges Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 169.1 °C 14.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 173.4 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 186.2 °C 19.1 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 198.5 °C 17.4 °C 1.6 mmSaturday
Apr 204.0 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Surges Bay minimum temp history (43.2181°S, 146.9897°E, 10m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.3° 14/04/2024 Coldest this month 3.4° 17/04/2024 Hottest on record 28.6 02/04/2005 Coldest on record -2.0 30/04/2009 Hottest this year 37.3° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 3.4° 17/04/2024 Long term average 17.0° Long term average 7.2° Average this month 18.0° Average this month 7.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.4° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.6° 2006 Surges Bay rainfall history (43.2181°S, 146.9897°E, 10m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 6.0mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 17.1mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 63.0mm 14.8 days Wettest April on record 262.0mm 1960 Driest on record 16.1mm 1927 -
Year to Date
Surges Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 224.9mm 50.6 day(s) Total For 2024 107.7mm 41.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 166.8mm 58.0 day(s) Wettest Day 16.4mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 3.4°C Apr17 Highest Temperature 37.3°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Surges Bay Climatology
Surges Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.2 20.9 19.5 17.0 14.6 12.6 12.3 13.1 14.8 16.4 17.9 19.5 16.6 Mean Min (°C) 10.5 10.2 9.0 7.2 5.7 3.9 3.5 3.9 5.0 6.4 7.9 9.1 6.9 Mean Rain (mm) 52.7 49.4 59.8 63.0 71.7 77.6 89.7 96.6 80.5 83.9 72.4 70.8 864.9 Mean Rain Days 11.9 10.8 13.1 14.8 16.9 17.4 20.0 19.2 17.6 17.5 15.5 14.5 189.9