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Forecast

Plenty (42.7384°S, 146.9493°E, 27m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 16°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:55am EST 7:26am EST 5:13pm EST 5:43pm EST
    NOW
    8.8° Feels Like: 7.1°
    Relative Humidity: 90%
    Dew: 7.3°
    Wind: NW 6km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Plenty
    Now
    10.9°c
    Feels Like:
    8.3°
    Wind:
    NW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    75%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Plenty
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h turning NW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 14.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow possible above 700 metres. Possible hail in the evening. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 6 and 10.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h turning NW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 14.

    Forecast for Plenty (42.7384°S, 146.9493°E, 27m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible shower Showers increasing Frost then sunny Possible shower Late shower Possible shower Showers increasing
    Minimum
    Maximum 16° 10° 13° 11° 12° 12° 13°
    Chance of rain 70% 60% 50% 80% 90% 70% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Moderate High High Moderate Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNW WNW W NNE N W W W W W W WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 84% 69% 81% 69% 82% 61% 88% 74% 84% 75% 84% 77% 80% 74%
    Dew point 9°C 10°C 4°C 4°C 3°C 5°C 3°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Plenty Rain Forecast


    Plenty 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Aug 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Plenty Rain Forecast


    Plenty 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    5
    6
    7
    6
    6
    6
    6
    5
    10
    3
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Plenty Rain Forecast


    Plenty 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Aug 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Plenty Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jul 26
    2.9 °C 14.3 °C
    6.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 27
    7.2 °C 16.8 °C
    3.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 28
    7.0 °C 14.9 °C
    3.8 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 29
    4.2 °C 13.3 °C
    10.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 30
    2.1 °C 15.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Plenty minimum temp history (42.7384°S, 146.9493°E, 27m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.8° 27/07/2021 Coldest this month -4.4° 10/07/2021
    Hottest on record 20.0 02/07/1985 Coldest on record -5.5 09/07/1967
    Hottest this year 36.2° 11/01/2021 Coldest this year -4.4° 10/07/2021
    Long term average 11.3° Long term average 1.4°
    Average this month 11.8° Average this month 1.4°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.7° 2010 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. -0.2° 1982
    Plenty rainfall history (42.7384°S, 146.9493°E, 27m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.0mm 29/07/2021 Total This Month 38.8mm
    21.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.3mm 17.6 days Wettest July on record 147.5mm 1974
    Driest on record 6.2mm 1932
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Plenty Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 301.2mm 87.6 day(s)
    Total For 2021 237.0mm 85.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 332.2mm 82.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 34.4mm Feb 6
    Lowest Temperature -4.4°C Jul10
    Highest Temperature 36.2°C Jan11
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Plenty Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.2 24.2 21.8 18.1 14.4 11.4 11.3 13.2 15.3 17.7 19.9 22.0 17.8
    Mean Min (°C) 10.2 10.0 8.4 6.1 3.9 2.0 1.4 2.2 3.9 5.7 7.6 9.0 5.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 38.0 34.7 38.2 46.5 45.5 47.0 51.3 55.7 53.0 56.3 49.7 50.0 561.9
    Mean Rain Days 9.2 8.2 10.0 12.0 14.7 15.9 17.6 16.9 15.8 15.7 13.2 11.7 160.2