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Forecast

Pelverata (43.0464°S, 147.115°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers 10° 16°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:52am EDT 5:27am EDT 8:39pm EDT 9:13pm EDT
    NOW
    14.1° Feels Like: 7.8°
    Relative Humidity: 52%
    Dew: 4.6°
    Wind: WSW 26km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 5.6mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Pelverata
    Now
    11.7°c
    Feels Like:
    4.2°
    Wind:
    WSW 35km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    74%
    Windy with showers
     
    10°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Pelverata
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. Snow falling above 900 metres in the south. Winds W 40 to 60 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    10°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1000 metres early. Winds W/SW 35 to 55 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. Snow falling above 900 metres in the south. Winds W 40 to 60 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 17.

    Forecast for Pelverata (43.0464°S, 147.115°E, 105m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Windy with showers Windy with showers Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Showers increasing
    Minimum 10° 10° 11° 12° 15° 11° 11°
    Maximum 16° 17° 21° 29° 23° 22° 19°
    Chance of rain 80% 60% 20% 20% 10% 40% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 27
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W W W W SW NNE NNE WSW W WNW WSW WNW W
    Relative humidity 77% 77% 79% 75% 70% 52% 68% 47% 71% 52% 66% 51% 66% 62%
    Dew point 10°C 11°C 11°C 13°C 9°C 11°C 14°C 16°C 13°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 11°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pelverata Rain Forecast


    Pelverata 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pelverata Rain Forecast


    Pelverata 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    7
    6
    5
    6
    5
    5
    6
    4
    7
    8
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pelverata Rain Forecast


    Pelverata 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pelverata Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 02
    7.6 °C 12.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03
    5.3 °C 11.9 °C
    6.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04
    2.9 °C 13.8 °C
    10.8 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    8.9 °C 17.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 06
    8.3 °C -
    3.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pelverata minimum temp history (43.0464°S, 147.115°E, 105m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.0° 05/12/2019 Coldest this month 2.9° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 37.1 31/12/2009 Coldest on record 0.3 04/12/2008
    Hottest this year 38.3° 02/03/2019 Coldest this year -5.2° 25/06/2019
    Long term average 21.1° Long term average 8.4°
    Average this month 14.6° Average this month 6.2°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.9° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 2006
    Pelverata rainfall history (43.0464°S, 147.115°E, 105m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.8mm 04/12/2019 Total This Month 20.4mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.9mm 13.9 days Wettest December on record 93.0mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Pelverata Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 746.3mm 183.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 513.8mm 136.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 658.0mm 137.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.8mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature -5.2°C Jun25
    Highest Temperature 38.3°C Mar 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Pelverata Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.2 22.7 21.3 17.9 14.9 12.5 12.2 13.4 15.5 17.3 19.1 21.1 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 9.8 9.2 8.1 5.7 4.3 2.0 1.9 2.8 4.4 5.5 7.3 8.4 5.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 47.9 51.0 40.4 44.4 62.1 68.9 71.7 85.6 82.7 64.6 62.1 64.9 746.0
    Mean Rain Days 10.4 10.5 11.8 14.5 16.7 17.5 20.5 18.9 16.7 17.1 15.0 13.9 170.5