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Forecast

Park Grove (41.0551°S, 145.8873°E, 70m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 17°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:04am EDT 5:37am EDT 8:43pm EDT 9:16pm EDT
    NOW
    18.4° Feels Like: 11.5°
    Relative Humidity: 62%
    Dew: 11.0°
    Wind: WSW 37km/h
    Gust: 50km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Park Grove
    Now
    15.0°c
    Feels Like:
    9.0°
    Wind:
    NW 33km/h
    Gusts:
    43km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Park Grove
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain in the west, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Cloudy
    11°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the west, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain in the west, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h increasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 18.

    Forecast for Park Grove (41.0551°S, 145.8873°E, 70m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Cloudy Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 11° 11° 12° 14°
    Maximum 17° 20° 17° 20° 23° 24° 25°
    Chance of rain 30% 80% 90% 5% 10% 10% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W W W WNW WNW W NNW W NNW ESE NE WSW WNW
    Relative humidity 76% 76% 77% 59% 88% 77% 68% 64% 70% 62% 80% 72% 66% 54%
    Dew point 8°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 8°C 12°C 11°C 15°C 14°C 19°C 13°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Park Grove Rain Forecast


    Park Grove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Park Grove Rain Forecast


    Park Grove 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    4
    6
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Park Grove Rain Forecast


    Park Grove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Park Grove Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 09
    12.3 °C 17.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    11.3 °C 22.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    13.1 °C 19.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    11.0 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    9.3 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Park Grove minimum temp history (41.0551°S, 145.8873°E, 70m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.9° 10/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.5° 08/12/2019
    Hottest on record 30.5 12/12/1998 Coldest on record 0.0 12/12/1995
    Hottest this year 33.1° 22/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.9° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 19.7° Long term average 9.6°
    Average this month 18.1° Average this month 9.1°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.7° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 6.6° 1964
    Park Grove rainfall history (41.0551°S, 145.8873°E, 70m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.0mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 12.2mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 65.3mm 12.1 days Wettest December on record 164.2mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Park Grove Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1011.0mm 182.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 719.0mm 174.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 796.6mm 177.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 25.4mm Jun30
    Lowest Temperature -2.9°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 33.1°C Jan22
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Park Grove Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.5 21.7 20.2 17.6 15.2 13.5 12.7 13.2 14.5 16.2 18.0 19.7 17.0
    Mean Min (°C) 11.1 11.5 9.6 7.1 5.3 4.2 3.5 4.0 5.0 6.1 8.1 9.6 7.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.4 46.9 48.7 71.9 101.1 109.8 134.1 118.4 98.2 97.0 75.2 65.3 1011.8
    Mean Rain Days 9.0 8.8 11.1 13.5 17.7 18.7 21.7 21.4 18.2 16.9 13.6 12.1 175.4