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Forecast

Palana (39.7687°S, 147.8913°E, 12m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 19°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:03am EST 6:30am EST 5:49pm EST 6:16pm EST
    NOW
    7.2° Feels Like: 4.4°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 7.1°
    Wind: ENE 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1022.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Palana
    Now
    12.8°c
    Feels Like:
     
    Wind:
    SSE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
     
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Palana
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    10°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Palana

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18.

    Forecast for Palana (39.7687°S, 147.8913°E, 12m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible shower Sunny Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Windy with showers Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 12° 11° 10° 12° 13°
    Maximum 19° 19° 21° 17° 17° 18° 19°
    Chance of rain 10% 10% 70% 70% 20% 50% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    50
    (km/h)
    52
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SE ESE N NW NW W WSW SW WSW WNW WNW W W
    Relative humidity 78% 68% 70% 61% 83% 78% 70% 59% 62% 63% 73% 72% 78% 73%
    Dew point 11°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 16°C 16°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Palana Rain Forecast


    Palana 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    May 1
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 20 April to 24 April, and 26 April to 30 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 April to 17 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Palana Rain Forecast


    Palana 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    5
    5
    7
    4
    6
    7
    5
    7
    5
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Palana Rain Forecast


    Palana 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    May 1
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 20 April to 24 April, and 26 April to 30 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 April to 17 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Palana Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Apr 03
    15.8 °C 21.3 °C
    3.0 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    14.5 °C 16.4 °C
    2.8 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    6.8 °C 14.5 °C
    17.2 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06
    10.6 °C 16.4 °C
    7.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Apr 07
    7.6 °C 17 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Palana minimum temp history (39.7687°S, 147.8913°E, 12m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.3° 03/04/2020 Coldest this month 6.8° 05/04/2020
    Hottest on record 31.7 10/04/2005 Coldest on record -0.4 20/04/2015
    Hottest this year 38.5° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.4° 04/02/2020
    Long term average 18.8° Long term average 10.7°
    Average this month 18.1° Average this month 11.5°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.3° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 8.8° 1999
    Palana rainfall history (39.7687°S, 147.8913°E, 12m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.2mm 05/04/2020 Total This Month 30.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 58.0mm 13.0 days Wettest April on record 136.8mm 1956
    Driest on record 9.0mm 1958
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Palana Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 191.2mm 39.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 227.2mm 40.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 63.0mm 29.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 63.0mm Feb19
    Lowest Temperature 4.4°C Feb 4
    Highest Temperature 38.5°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Palana Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.2 22.7 21.4 18.8 16.3 14.1 13.4 13.8 15.2 16.8 18.6 20.3 17.7
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.8 12.6 10.7 9.0 7.1 6.3 6.6 7.6 8.6 10.3 11.9 9.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.8 38.1 50.3 58.0 78.8 72.8 82.0 76.0 63.2 58.1 55.5 57.4 735.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.7 7.8 10.0 13.0 16.8 18.0 19.5 18.5 15.4 13.8 11.5 10.5 160.5