Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS

For people in King Island, Furneaux Islands, Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, North West Coast, Central Plateau and parts of East Coast, Central North and Midlands Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:51 pm Wednesday, 21 August 2019.

DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

Weather Situation:
Strong and gusty southwesterly winds will increase during Wednesday evening as a cold front crosses Tasmania.

DAMAGING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS are possible in western, southern and central areas, as well as over the Bass Strait islands and lower east coast. DAMAGING WINDS averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts near 100 km/h are possible, although exposed coastal locations and elevated areas above 400 metres may experience gusts over 110 km/h.

Winds are expected to ease during Thursday morning.

Locations which may be affected include Burnie, Swansea, Strahan, New Norfolk, Hobart and Dover.

Maximum wind gust observations over the past 6 hours include: 131 km/h Mount Read, 119 km/h Cape Grim, 104 km/h Cape Sorell, 94 km/h Low Rocky Point.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.


The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Thursday.

Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Updated Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 4:08 pm EST on Wednesday 21 August 2019
for the period until midnight EST Thursday 22 August 2019.

Wind Warnings for Wednesday 21 August
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Central Plateau Lakes, Far
North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of
Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast, South
West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Channel and South West Lakes

Wind Warnings for Thursday 22 August
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel,
Central Plateau Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait
and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East
Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following area:
South West Lakes

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EST Thursday.

================================================================================
Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local Waters Forecast at
http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind, wave and
weather conditions for these coastal zones.
================================================================================

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Road Weather Alert for Tasmania
for Western, Central Plateau, Midlands and South East forecast districts.

Issued at 10:14 pm EST on Wednesday 21 August 2019.

Snow falling to 400 metres overnight will make driving conditions dangerous
during Wednesday evening and Thursday morning in parts of the Western, Central
Plateau, Midlands and South East forecast districts.
For information on any road closures, please contact your local council or the Police.
The next alert will be issued by 5:00 am EST Thursday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Warning to Sheep Graziers
for the Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast,
Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts.

Issued at 10:12 pm EST on Wednesday 21 August 2019.

Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and strong
southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday and Thursday. Areas likely to
be affected include the Furneaux Islands, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent
Valley and South East forecast districts and parts of the North West Coast and
North East forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep
exposed to these conditions.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Thursday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Tasmania

Initial Minor Flood Warning for the River Derwent

Issued at 10:44 am EST on Wednesday 21 August 2019
Flood Warning Number: 1

Minor flooding may develop along the lower Derwent River below Meadowbank Dam
during Wednesday. Flooding is not expected to extend downstream to Macquarie
Plains and New Norfolk.

In the 24 hours to 9 am Wednesday, widespread rainfall totals between 10-40 mm
were observed in the Derwent River catchment, with isolated higher totals up to
67 mm at Narcissus River.

Widespread rainfall totals of 10-20 mm are forecast for the remainder of
Wednesday and 5-15 mm for Thursday. No significant rainfall is forecast for
Friday.

River levels are high in the upper Derwent, Nive, Florentine, Tyenna, Styx and
Plenty Rivers.

Strong and dangerous flows will be a hazard over the next couple of days.

River Derwent above River Ouse:
Strong river rises are occurring in the upper River Derwent and its tributaries.

River Derwent above Meadowbank Dam:
Strong river rises are occurring in the middle reaches of the River Derwent.

Tyenna River:
Strong river rises are occurring in the Tyenna River.

Styx River:
Minor flooding has eased along the Styx River about Bruces Bridge.

River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam:
Minor flooding may occur along the River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam.

The River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam is currently at 3.77 metres and steady.
The River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam may reach the minor flood level (4.10 m)
during Wednesday.

The River Derwent at Macquarie Plains is currently at 2.17 metres and rising.
The River Derwent at Macquarie Plains is expected to remain below the minor
flood level (4.00 m) during Wednesday.

Flood Safety Advice:
FloodSafe advice is available at www.ses.tas.gov.au
Road closure information is available at www.police.tas.gov.au

For emergency assistance call the SES on telephone number 132 500.
For life threatening situations, call 000 immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:30 am EST on Thursday 22 August 2019.

Latest River Heights:
River Derwent below Lake St Clair, 2.19, Steady, 10:00 AM WED 21/08/19
River Ouse at Ashton, 0.93, Rising, 10:00 AM WED 21/08/19
River Ouse at 3B Weir, 0.79, Steady, 10:00 AM WED 21/08/19
River Clyde at Bothwell, 0.07, Steady, 10:00 AM WED 21/08/19
River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam, 3.77, Steady, 10:15 AM WED 21/08/19
River Derwent at Macquarie Plains, 2.18, Rising, 10:25 AM WED 21/08/19
Tyenna River at Newbury, 1.51, Falling, 10:15 AM WED 21/08/19
Styx River at Bruces Bridge, 1.50, Falling, 10:29 AM WED 21/08/19
River Derwent at New Norfolk, 1.03, Falling, 10:22 AM WED 21/08/19

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and
river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood. The latest weather
forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Tasmania

Minor Flood Warning for the Huon River

Issued at 10:20 am EST on Wednesday 21 August 2019
By Bureau of Meteorology, Hobart

Flood Warning Number: 4

Minor flooding is easing along the Huon River during Wednesday. Renewed river
rises are expected from overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Minor flooding may
redevelop around Tahune Bridge, but flooding is not expected to extend
downstream to Judbury and Huonville, based on forecast rainfall

In the 24 hours to 9 am Wednesday, widespread rainfall totals of 10-40 mm were
observed in the Huon River catchment, with higher totals up to 51 mm were
recorded in the upper reaches of the catchment (North Boomerang).

Additional rainfall totals of 10-20 mm are forecast for the remainder of
Wednesday and 5-10 mm on Thursday. No significant rainfall is forecast on
Friday.

Strong and dangerous flows will be a hazard over the next couple of days.

Huon River above Tahune:
Minor flooding is occurring along the upper Huon River above Tahune.

Picton River:
River levels are easing along the Picton River. Renewed rises are likely from
Wednesday evening.

Huon River - Tahune to Judbury:
Minor flooding has eased along the Huon River - Tahune to Judbury. Renewed
river rises are expected late Wednesday.

The Huon River at Tahune Bridge peaked at 5.53 metres around 09.00 pm on
Tuesday 20 August and is currently at 2.95 metres and falling. The Huon River
at Tahune Bridge may reach the minor flood level (4.00 m) overnight Wednesday
into Thursday, based on forecast rainfall.

The Huon River at Judbury peaked at 5.00 metres around 11.00 pm on Tuesday 20
August and is currently at 3.20 metres and falling. The Huon River at Judbury
is likely to remain below the minor flood level (4.00 m) during Wednesday and
Thursday.

Huon River around Huonville:
Minor flooding has eased along the Huon River around Huonville.

The Huon River at Huonville peaked at 3.24 metres around 02:00 am Wednesday 21
August and is currently at 2.40 metres and falling. The Huon River at Huonville
is likely to remain below the minor flood level (3.00 m) during Wednesday and
Thursday.

Flood Safety Advice:
FloodSafe advice is available at www.ses.tas.gov.au
Road closure information is available at www.police.tas.gov.au

For emergency assistance call the SES on telephone number 132 500.
For life threatening situations, call 000 immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 10:30 am EST on Thursday 22 August 2019.

Latest River Heights:
Huon River at Harrisons Opening, 3.83, Steady, 09:59 AM WED 21/08/19
Huon River at Tahune Bridge, 2.95, Falling, 09:55 AM WED 21/08/19
Huon River at Judbury, 3.20, Falling, 08:00 AM WED 21/08/19
Huon River at Huonville, 2.40, Steady, 09:18 AM WED 21/08/19

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and
river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood. The latest weather
forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts.