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Forecast

Orielton (42.7402°S, 147.5327°E, 23m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 17°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:31am EST 7:00am EST 5:29pm EST 5:58pm EST
    NOW
    8.4° Feels Like: 4.0°
    Relative Humidity: 70%
    Dew: 3.3°
    Wind: N 15km/h
    Gust: N 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Orielton
    Now
    9.1°c
    Feels Like:
    4.0°
    Wind:
    N 20km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    74%
    Showers
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Orielton
    Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Snow falling above 800 metres in the late evening. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h increasing to 45 km/h before turning W 25 to 40 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Snow falling above 400 metres. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 6 and 11.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Snow falling above 800 metres in the late evening. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h increasing to 45 km/h before turning W 25 to 40 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 17.

    Forecast for Orielton (42.7402°S, 147.5327°E, 23m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Showers Showers Windy with showers Windy with showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 17° 11° 15° 12° 11° 15° 16°
    Chance of rain 90% 60% 70% 80% 60% 70% 60%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Slight Moderate Slight Slight Moderate Moderate Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    41
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N N WNW WNW WNW W W WSW SW SW NW NW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 66% 41% 60% 52% 74% 57% 63% 49% 66% 47% 66% 43% 66% 43%
    Dew point 5°C 3°C -1°C 1°C 6°C 6°C 0°C 1°C -1°C 0°C 1°C 3°C 2°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Orielton Rain Forecast


    Orielton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 August to 4 September, 13 September to 17 September, and 17 September to 21 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 August to 19 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 August to 4 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 16 September to 20 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Orielton Rain Forecast


    Orielton 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    8
    7
    6
    4
    7
    7
    7
    6
    1
    4
    8
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Orielton Rain Forecast


    Orielton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 August to 4 September, 13 September to 17 September, and 17 September to 21 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 August to 19 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 August to 4 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 16 September to 20 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Orielton Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 13
    1.0 °C 15.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 14
    0.8 °C 15.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 15
    7.0 °C 18.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 16
    7.5 °C 11.7 °C
    0.6 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 17
    5.0 °C -
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Orielton minimum temp history (42.7402°S, 147.5327°E, 23m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.0° 15/08/2019 Coldest this month 0.4° 08/08/2019
    Hottest on record 23.7 31/08/2006 Coldest on record -2.0 03/08/1979
    Hottest this year 40.1° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.3° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 13.5° Long term average 4.7°
    Average this month 13.2° Average this month 3.9°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.0° 1982 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 3.2° 1959
    Orielton rainfall history (42.7402°S, 147.5327°E, 23m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 21.4mm 10/08/2019 Total This Month 36.6mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 46.5mm 14.3 days Wettest August on record 115.4mm 1982
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Orielton Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 311.8mm 91.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 181.2mm 87.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 269.4mm 83.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 21.4mm Aug10
    Lowest Temperature 0.3°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 40.1°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Orielton Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.6 22.3 20.8 18.2 15.3 13.0 12.5 13.5 15.4 17.3 19.0 20.7 17.5
    Mean Min (°C) 12.1 12.1 10.8 8.8 6.6 4.7 4.1 4.7 6.1 7.6 9.2 10.8 8.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.9 35.3 35.6 40.4 36.3 33.6 43.2 46.5 41.6 46.0 44.7 51.9 495.9
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.2 10.1 10.8 12.1 12.6 14.1 14.3 13.9 13.8 12.9 11.9 141.5