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Forecast

Oatlands (42.3003°S, 147.3708°E, 400m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 17°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:21am EDT 5:54am EDT 8:46pm EDT 9:19pm EDT
    NOW
    9.5° Feels Like: 5.8°
    Relative Humidity: 62%
    Dew: 2.6°
    Wind: E 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Oatlands
    Now
    12.9°c
    Feels Like:
    9.3°
    Wind:
    NNW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    53%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Oatlands
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Oatlands

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 22.

    Forecast for Oatlands (42.3003°S, 147.3708°E, 400m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Clearing shower Late shower Thunderstorms Clearing shower
    Minimum 13°
    Maximum 17° 22° 18° 20° 26° 20° 19°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 60% 40% 90% 90% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Extreme Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE E ESE ESE SSE SSE SSW SSW N N NNW NW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 67% 46% 77% 50% 86% 67% 87% 57% 69% 41% 80% 48% 64% 45%
    Dew point 4°C 5°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 9°C 7°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Oatlands Rain Forecast


    Oatlands 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Oatlands Rain Forecast


    Oatlands 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    7
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Oatlands Rain Forecast


    Oatlands 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Oatlands Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    9.9 °C 24.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    14.0 °C 27.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    10.5 °C 11.2 °C
    1.8 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    5.1 °C 15 °C
    8.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    8 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Oatlands minimum temp history (42.3003°S, 147.3708°E, 400m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.2° 09/01/2020 Coldest this month 2.8° 06/01/2020
    Hottest on record 37.4 25/01/2003 Coldest on record -2.0 24/01/2000
    Hottest this year 28.2° 09/01/2020 Coldest this year 2.8° 06/01/2020
    Long term average 21.7° Long term average 8.9°
    Average this month 22.9° Average this month 9.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.6° 2003 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 7.2° 2004
    Oatlands rainfall history (42.3003°S, 147.3708°E, 400m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.0mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 12.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 46.1mm 9.8 days Wettest January on record 108.4mm 2003
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Oatlands Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 46.1mm 9.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 12.0mm 4.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 8.0mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 2.8°C Jan 6
    Highest Temperature 28.2°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Oatlands Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.7 21.3 19.3 15.4 12.3 10.0 9.5 10.5 12.6 14.6 17.2 19.5 15.4
    Mean Min (°C) 8.9 8.9 7.5 5.2 3.6 2.1 1.6 1.9 3.4 4.3 6.1 7.5 5.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 46.1 43.6 49.0 40.8 48.8 66.6 44.9 59.7 60.0 52.7 64.2 52.1 628.5
    Mean Rain Days 9.8 9.0 11.2 12.2 15.4 18.4 18.3 17.0 14.8 14.3 12.8 11.7 155.1