Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:00 AM EST on Friday 19 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 20 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Friday 19 April
Cancellation for the following areas:
Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast
Wind Warnings for Saturday 20 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast and South West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EST Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Nicholls Rivulet (43.1619°S, 147.1418°E, 63m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 17° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:21am EST 6:50am EST 5:32pm EST 6:01pm EST NOW13.3° Feels Like: 11.0° Relative Humidity: 63% Dew: 6.4° Wind: S 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Nicholls RivuletNow14.6°cFeels Like:10.2°Wind:SW 19km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:58%8°Min17°MaxToday in Nicholls RivuletCloudy. Slight chance of a shower early this morning. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h shifting W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 18.Tomorrow6°Min18°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 19. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower early this morning. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h shifting W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 18.
Forecast for Nicholls Rivulet (43.1619°S, 147.1418°E, 63m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 8° 6° 9° 9° 10° 7° 7° Maximum 17° 18° 19° 20° 18° 14° 14° Chance of rain 5% 10% 10% 60% 80% 70% 60% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW NW W WNW W NNW NW NW W W WNW W WSW Relative humidity 76% 58% 73% 60% 77% 66% 78% 63% 72% 65% 81% 72% 75% 68% Dew point 8°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 8°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Nicholls Rivulet Rain Forecast
Nicholls Rivulet 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Nicholls Rivulet Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Apr 1511.9 °C 17.5 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Apr 168.1 °C 15.4 °C 0.4 mmWednesday
Apr 170.3 °C - 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 185.4 °C 18.1 °C -Friday
Apr 198.9 °C 13.4 °C 2.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Nicholls Rivulet minimum temp history (43.1619°S, 147.1418°E, 63m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.9° 06/04/2024 Coldest this month 0.3° 17/04/2024 Hottest on record 30.4 02/04/2005 Coldest on record -2.9 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 35.8° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 0.3° 17/04/2024 Long term average 18.0° Long term average 5.9° Average this month 18.4° Average this month 6.2° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.9° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 2008 Nicholls Rivulet rainfall history (43.1619°S, 147.1418°E, 63m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 20.2mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 28.2mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 45.4mm 14.5 days Wettest April on record 84.0mm 2006 Driest on record 19.0mm 2015 -
Year to Date
Nicholls Rivulet Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 172.5mm 48.3 day(s) Total For 2024 93.6mm 32.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 130.4mm 41.0 day(s) Wettest Day 20.2mm Apr 3 Lowest Temperature 0.3°C Apr17 Highest Temperature 35.8°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Nicholls Rivulet Climatology
Nicholls Rivulet Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.6 22.7 21.1 18.0 15.0 12.7 12.3 13.5 15.5 17.3 19.2 21.3 17.6 Mean Min (°C) 10.0 9.2 8.0 5.9 4.3 2.1 2.1 2.7 4.3 5.5 7.3 8.5 5.8 Mean Rain (mm) 38.8 43.7 44.6 45.4 69.2 66.4 66.9 86.9 75.1 70.1 55.8 61.4 729.2 Mean Rain Days 10.4 10.8 12.6 14.5 16.9 17.4 19.4 19.4 16.8 17.0 14.4 13.8 182.5