Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:00 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Thursday 25 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 24 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Channel, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Storm Bay and Central West Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 25 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Central Plateau Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Central West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EST Thursday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Natone (41.1656°S, 145.921°E, 253m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 16° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:29am EST 6:57am EST 5:31pm EST 5:59pm EST NOW8.6° Feels Like: 5.8° Relative Humidity: 90% Dew: 7.1° Wind: W 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: 1017.3hPa -
Today Weather
NatoneNow8.5°cFeels Like:5.0°Wind:NW 11km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:73%8°Min16°MaxToday in NatoneCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.Tomorrow8°Min17°MaxPartly cloudy. The chance of fog in the E in the early morning. Medium chance of showers in the far W, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
Forecast for Natone (41.1656°S, 145.921°E, 253m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 8° 8° 7° 7° 9° 6° 5° Maximum 16° 17° 17° 17° 15° 15° 15° Chance of rain 5% 5% 40% 80% 5% 30% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 23
(km/h)23
(km/h)16
(km/h)20
(km/h)10
(km/h)18
(km/h)9
(km/h)19
(km/h)19
(km/h)23
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WNW WNW NNW WSW WSW SSW WSW S W Relative humidity 68% 60% 71% 60% 75% 64% 80% 68% 73% 56% 63% 57% 63% 57% Dew point 7°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 7°C 4°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Natone Rain Forecast
Natone 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Natone Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 202.9 °C 20.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 216.1 °C 19.3 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 225.9 °C 17.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 234.2 °C 18.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 249.1 °C 15.4 °C 2.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Natone minimum temp history (41.1656°S, 145.921°E, 253m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.3° 07/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.5° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 27.2 10/04/2007 Coldest on record -2.3 25/04/1997 Hottest this year 28.3° 17/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.5° 09/04/2024 Long term average 17.6° Long term average 7.2° Average this month 18.8° Average this month 6.7° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.2° 2007 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.0° 1965 Natone rainfall history (41.1656°S, 145.921°E, 253m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 54.2mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 59.0mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 70.3mm 13.6 days Wettest April on record 225.6mm 1956 Driest on record 13.4mm 1963 -
Year to Date
Natone Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 211.7mm 42.3 day(s) Total For 2024 152.6mm 22.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 168.2mm 35.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 1.5°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 28.3°C Feb17 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Natone Climatology
Natone Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.7 21.8 20.2 17.6 15.2 13.5 12.8 13.3 14.5 16.3 18.1 19.8 17.0 Mean Min (°C) 11.4 11.6 9.7 7.2 5.3 4.2 3.6 4.0 5.0 6.2 8.3 9.7 7.1 Mean Rain (mm) 44.2 46.8 50.4 70.3 95.6 108.4 129.8 115.9 93.8 93.4 73.1 63.1 975.7 Mean Rain Days 8.9 8.6 11.2 13.6 17.8 19.0 21.8 21.3 18.2 16.8 13.5 11.9 182.3