Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central North forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Central North forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Musselboro (41.4409°S, 147.4496°E, 572m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW5° 15° clearing shower Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:23am EST 6:52am EST 5:26pm EST 5:55pm EST NOW14.4° Feels Like: 11.2° Relative Humidity: 75% Dew: 10.0° Wind: N 17km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1010.7hPa -
Today Weather
MusselboroNow12.7°cFeels Like:10.7°Wind:SW 11km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:86%5°Min15°MaxToday in MusselboroPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 1100 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h turning W 25 to 40 km/h before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 17.Tomorrow5°Min15°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 1100 metres. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h turning W 25 to 40 km/h before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 17.
Forecast for Musselboro (41.4409°S, 147.4496°E, 572m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 5° 5° 3° 3° 6° 8° 2° Maximum 15° 15° 18° 17° 17° 16° 15° Chance of rain 10% 5% 10% 10% 70% 30% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Slight Moderate Moderate Nil Nil Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)21
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)9
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)24
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction WSW W NNW SW N WSW WSW NNW NNW NNW WNW WSW SSE SSW Relative humidity 69% 48% 74% 49% 77% 51% 85% 59% 82% 64% 82% 50% 75% 53% Dew point 4°C 3°C 5°C 3°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 4°C 4°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Musselboro Rain Forecast
Musselboro 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Musselboro Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 196.8 °C 16.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 202.6 °C 20.5 °C 0.2 mmSunday
Apr 213.6 °C 21.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 225.9 °C 17.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 236.6 °C 20.2 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Musselboro minimum temp history (41.4409°S, 147.4496°E, 572m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.6° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.1° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 27.6 02/04/2005 Coldest on record -3.3 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 32.5° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.1° 09/04/2024 Long term average 18.2° Long term average 6.7° Average this month 19.2° Average this month 6.5° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.5° 2007 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 4.5° 2006 Musselboro rainfall history (41.4409°S, 147.4496°E, 572m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 21.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 40.0mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 47.6mm 9.4 days Wettest April on record 97.2mm 2006 Driest on record 9.6mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Musselboro Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 165.0mm 32.7 day(s) Total For 2024 108.4mm 24.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 147.8mm 37.0 day(s) Wettest Day 25.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 2.1°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 32.5°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Musselboro Climatology
Musselboro Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.2 24.5 22.4 18.2 14.7 12.2 11.9 13.0 15.2 17.6 20.4 22.6 18.1 Mean Min (°C) 11.1 10.9 9.4 6.7 4.3 2.5 2.2 2.9 4.0 5.4 7.7 9.1 6.3 Mean Rain (mm) 34.2 30.6 52.6 47.6 53.7 55.3 67.5 75.8 52.3 46.2 51.9 48.3 620.7 Mean Rain Days 6.8 7.4 9.1 9.4 13.6 14.6 16.4 16.3 13.4 12.4 11.0 10.3 141.3