Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 01:50 AM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Mayfield (41.3895°S, 147.131°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY7° 16° rain clearing Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:23am EST 6:52am EST 5:27pm EST 5:55pm EST NOW10.7° Feels Like: 7.1° Relative Humidity: 86% Dew: 8.4° Wind: S 17km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 11.4mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
MayfieldNow9.0°cFeels Like:1.9°Wind:S 33km/hGusts:41km/hHumidity:89%7°Min16°MaxToday in MayfieldPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 40 km/h before dawn then tending W/NW in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.Tomorrow6°Min17°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 40 km/h before dawn then tending W/NW in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.
Forecast for Mayfield (41.3895°S, 147.131°E, 65m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 7° 6° 3° 5° 8° 9° 4° Maximum 16° 17° 19° 18° 18° 17° 16° Chance of rain 30% 5% 5% 5% 50% 10% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Moderate Slight Nil Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)16
(km/h)4
(km/h)12
(km/h)2
(km/h)8
(km/h)1
(km/h)16
(km/h)7
(km/h)21
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction SSW W NNW SW SSE NW NW NNW N NNW SW WSW WSW SSW Relative humidity 57% 45% 76% 46% 77% 50% 85% 58% 85% 65% 83% 47% 71% 45% Dew point 3°C 4°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 5°C 5°C 3°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mayfield Rain Forecast
Mayfield 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Mayfield Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 199.6 °C 18.2 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Apr 203.6 °C 21.3 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 215.2 °C 23.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 226.3 °C 18.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 237.2 °C 20.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mayfield minimum temp history (41.3895°S, 147.131°E, 65m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 24.5° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 3.0° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 27.7 12/04/1985 Coldest on record -1.5 26/04/1981 Hottest this year 31.6° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year 3.0° 09/04/2024 Long term average 19.1° Long term average 7.7° Average this month 20.3° Average this month 7.5° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.8° 1988 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.0° 2006 Mayfield rainfall history (41.3895°S, 147.131°E, 65m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 22.6mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 35.0mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 51.5mm 9.2 days Wettest April on record 124.6mm 1992 Driest on record 4.3mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Mayfield Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 169.3mm 29.3 day(s) Total For 2024 115.8mm 21.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 155.7mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 30.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 3.0°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mayfield Climatology
Mayfield Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.7 24.6 22.7 19.1 15.8 13.2 12.7 13.9 15.8 18.1 20.7 22.7 18.6 Mean Min (°C) 12.5 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.1 2.9 2.5 3.6 5.3 7.0 9.2 10.9 7.4 Mean Rain (mm) 44.9 31.4 41.5 51.5 63.3 68.7 78.7 83.1 63.0 53.4 50.9 47.8 678.3 Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.1 6.8 9.2 12.3 14.0 16.0 16.3 14.1 11.4 9.8 8.3 131.5