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Forecast

Lunawanna (43.3666°S, 147.2332°E, 25m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers 12°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:49am EDT 5:25am EDT 8:40pm EDT 9:15pm EDT
    NOW
    9.1° Feels Like: -1.5°
    Relative Humidity: 83%
    Dew: 6.4°
    Wind: WSW 50km/h
    Gust: 70km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 2.4mm
    Pressure: 993.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lunawanna
    Now
    11.8°c
    Feels Like:
    4.1°
    Wind:
    WSW 32km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    57%
    Windy with showers
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Lunawanna
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. Snow falling above 900 metres in the south. Winds W 40 to 60 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1000 metres early. Winds W/SW 35 to 55 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely this evening. Snow falling above 900 metres in the south. Winds W 40 to 60 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 17.

    Forecast for Lunawanna (43.3666°S, 147.2332°E, 25m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Windy with showers Windy with showers Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Clearing shower Late shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 11°
    Maximum 12° 14° 16° 21° 16° 16° 15°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 10% 50% 40% 40% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 47
    (km/h)
    55
    (km/h)
    45
    (km/h)
    49
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW WSW WSW WSW SW NNE NE WSW WSW W WSW NW W
    Relative humidity 73% 70% 76% 72% 74% 71% 78% 63% 81% 68% 72% 67% 67% 64%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 7°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lunawanna Rain Forecast


    Lunawanna 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    HIGH
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lunawanna Rain Forecast


    Lunawanna 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    7
    6
    5
    6
    5
    5
    6
    4
    7
    8
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lunawanna Rain Forecast


    Lunawanna 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    HIGH
    18
    HIGH
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lunawanna Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Dec 01
    8.8 °C 15.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Dec 02
    7.6 °C 11.5 °C
    2.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03
    6.3 °C 12.0 °C
    14.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04
    5.5 °C 14.0 °C
    11.4 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05
    7.5 °C 15 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lunawanna minimum temp history (43.3666°S, 147.2332°E, 25m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.0° 01/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.5° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 35.2 31/12/2009 Coldest on record 3.3 06/12/1970
    Hottest this year 39.0° 02/03/2019 Coldest this year -2.0° 30/05/2019
    Long term average 17.3° Long term average 10.5°
    Average this month 12.9° Average this month 7.0°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.6° 1994 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.9° 1964
    Lunawanna rainfall history (43.3666°S, 147.2332°E, 25m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.2mm 03/12/2019 Total This Month 28.4mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 74.5mm 16.3 days Wettest December on record 227.8mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Lunawanna Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 931.1mm 214.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 736.5mm 185.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 662.5mm 190.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.4mm Apr18
    Lowest Temperature -2.0°C May30
    Highest Temperature 39.0°C Mar 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lunawanna Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 18.8 19.0 17.9 16.0 13.8 12.0 11.5 12.1 13.5 14.7 15.9 17.3 15.2
    Mean Min (°C) 11.8 12.2 11.5 10.0 8.5 7.0 6.3 6.4 7.2 8.1 9.4 10.5 9.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 60.6 54.2 67.0 80.1 82.0 89.9 94.2 92.3 78.7 83.9 73.7 74.5 930.4
    Mean Rain Days 14.1 12.3 15.6 17.3 19.9 20.4 21.6 21.0 18.8 19.9 17.4 16.3 207.7