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Forecast

Lower Wattle Grove (43.1802°S, 146.9886°E, 42m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 18°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:51am EDT 5:26am EDT 8:46pm EDT 9:22pm EDT
    NOW
    16.6° Feels Like: 14.0°
    Relative Humidity: 51%
    Dew: 6.4°
    Wind: WSW 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Lower Wattle Grove
    Now
    18.7°c
    Feels Like:
    12.1°
    Wind:
    W 32km/h
    Gusts:
    41km/h
    Humidity:
    51%
    Showers
     
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Lower Wattle Grove
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h tending W in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    11°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 40 km/h before dawn then tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 19.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lower Wattle Grove

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere. Winds NW 25 to 35 km/h tending W in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 20.

    Forecast for Lower Wattle Grove (43.1802°S, 146.9886°E, 42m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Showers Possible shower Showers Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 10° 12° 11° 10°
    Maximum 18° 19° 18° 22° 24° 25° 24°
    Chance of rain 90% 70% 90% 30% 20% 20% 5%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW WSW W N WNW NW W W WSW N WSW W WSW
    Relative humidity 75% 77% 81% 55% 86% 81% 75% 52% 70% 49% 68% 51% 67% 50%
    Dew point 9°C 14°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 14°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lower Wattle Grove Rain Forecast


    Lower Wattle Grove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lower Wattle Grove Rain Forecast


    Lower Wattle Grove 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    7
    6
    5
    6
    5
    5
    6
    4
    7
    8
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lower Wattle Grove Rain Forecast


    Lower Wattle Grove 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lower Wattle Grove Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 09
    9.5 °C 26.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    11.0 °C 21.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    10.5 °C 20.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    9.0 °C 16.0 °C
    3.2 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    8.6 °C -
    2.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lower Wattle Grove minimum temp history (43.1802°S, 146.9886°E, 42m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.7° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 3.5° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 37.3 31/12/2009 Coldest on record 1.7 12/12/1995
    Hottest this year 40.1° 02/03/2019 Coldest this year -1.5° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 19.2° Long term average 9.0°
    Average this month 16.8° Average this month 7.5°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.6° 1994 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 7.4° 1996
    Lower Wattle Grove rainfall history (43.1802°S, 146.9886°E, 42m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.0mm 04/12/2019 Total This Month 43.0mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 71.3mm 14.0 days Wettest December on record 210.3mm 1994
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Lower Wattle Grove Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 866.8mm 184.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 804.0mm 209.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 793.6mm 196.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 32.0mm Aug10
    Lowest Temperature -1.5°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 40.1°C Mar 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lower Wattle Grove Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 20.8 20.7 19.4 16.9 14.7 12.6 12.3 13.1 14.8 16.3 17.7 19.2 16.6
    Mean Min (°C) 10.3 10.2 9.1 7.1 5.8 3.9 3.5 3.9 5.1 6.3 7.9 9.0 6.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 54.8 49.4 58.7 63.3 71.1 75.5 90.8 95.2 81.1 83.8 71.8 71.3 865.5
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 10.6 12.8 14.5 16.6 16.7 19.6 18.2 17.1 17.3 15.4 14.0 177.4