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Forecast

Lottah (41.2228°S, 148.0208°E, 433m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 23°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:38am EDT 6:07am EDT 7:37pm EDT 8:06pm EDT
    NOW
    18.9° Feels Like: 14.5°
    Relative Humidity: 46%
    Dew: 7.0°
    Wind: SSE 19km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lottah
    Now
    18.7°c
    Feels Like:
    16.2°
    Wind:
    NW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    51%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Lottah
    Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early this morning. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    10°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lottah

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early this morning. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.

    Forecast for Lottah (41.2228°S, 148.0208°E, 433m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 13°
    Maximum 23° 24° 23° 17° 16° 18° 20°
    Chance of rain 10% 10% 60% 50% 40% 5% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW SSE N N NNW NW NW WNW W WNW W N NNW NNW
    Relative humidity 63% 47% 74% 45% 56% 50% 72% 56% 58% 53% 61% 55% 68% 52%
    Dew point 9°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 14°C 9°C 6°C 8°C 3°C 6°C 5°C 8°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lottah Rain Forecast


    Lottah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lottah Rain Forecast


    Lottah 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    6
    7
    6
    5
    6
    5
    6
    5
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lottah Rain Forecast


    Lottah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 22 November to 26 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 November to 7 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lottah Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Oct 19
    5.1 °C 15.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 20
    8.3 °C 18.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 21
    6.7 °C 18.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 22
    10.6 °C 16.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 23
    7.9 °C 24 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lottah minimum temp history (41.2228°S, 148.0208°E, 433m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.6° 03/10/2019 Coldest this month 3.3° 01/10/2019
    Hottest on record 29.7 31/10/2009 Coldest on record 0.9 09/10/2003
    Hottest this year 36.5° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.6° 23/08/2019
    Long term average 17.5° Long term average 8.0°
    Average this month 16.8° Average this month 7.2°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.3° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 6.2° 2003
    Lottah rainfall history (41.2228°S, 148.0208°E, 433m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.0mm 11/10/2019 Total This Month 22.8mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 61.5mm 12.1 days Wettest October on record 208.8mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Lottah Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 602.6mm 128.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 371.6mm 111.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 480.6mm 128.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 82.4mm Sep 7
    Lowest Temperature -0.6°C Aug23
    Highest Temperature 36.5°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lottah Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.8 22.0 21.1 18.5 16.1 14.0 13.5 14.3 16.1 17.5 19.5 21.2 18.1
    Mean Min (°C) 13.3 13.4 11.8 9.6 7.2 5.6 4.9 5.2 6.7 8.0 10.2 11.7 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 69.3 55.8 67.8 58.0 51.3 66.8 51.2 64.7 56.2 61.5 89.8 50.9 742.4
    Mean Rain Days 8.6 10.3 9.8 11.6 13.7 17.3 17.3 15.3 12.1 12.1 11.3 10.6 144.4