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Forecast

Little Swanport (42.3309°S, 147.9419°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Cloudy 10° 18°
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:20am EDT 5:53am EDT 8:43pm EDT 9:16pm EDT
    NOW
    13.5° Feels Like: 10.1°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 4.3°
    Wind: ESE 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Little Swanport
    Now
    14.4°c
    Feels Like:
    11.9°
    Wind:
    SSE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    53%
    Cloudy
     
    10°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Little Swanport
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    12°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Little Swanport

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 19.

    Forecast for Little Swanport (42.3309°S, 147.9419°E, 2m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Cloudy Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 12° 14° 13° 11° 15° 13°
    Maximum 18° 20° 19° 19° 25° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 50% 40% 60% 50% 70% 40% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE E S SSE S S SSW S NNE NE NNW NW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 64% 59% 79% 75% 82% 75% 80% 72% 70% 53% 75% 53% 60% 45%
    Dew point 7°C 10°C 13°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 15°C 14°C 13°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Little Swanport Rain Forecast


    Little Swanport 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Little Swanport Rain Forecast


    Little Swanport 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    6
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Little Swanport Rain Forecast


    Little Swanport 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Little Swanport Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    14.4 °C 21.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    15.7 °C 23.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    14.6 °C 15.7 °C
    6.7 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    9.4 °C 17 °C
    1.4 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    13 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Little Swanport minimum temp history (42.3309°S, 147.9419°E, 2m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 8.5° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 38.8 04/01/2013 Coldest on record 3.2 13/01/1972
    Hottest this year 29.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.5° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 22.1° Long term average 11.9°
    Average this month 23.0° Average this month 12.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.5° 1969 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 10.0° 1972
    Little Swanport rainfall history (42.3309°S, 147.9419°E, 2m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.8mm 11/01/2020 Total This Month 10.6mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.9mm 9.7 days Wettest January on record 174.2mm 1969
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Little Swanport Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 50.9mm 9.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 10.6mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 5.4mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 5.8mm Jan11
    Lowest Temperature 8.5°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 29.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Little Swanport Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.1 21.9 20.6 18.4 15.7 13.3 13.1 14.0 15.8 17.4 18.7 20.4 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 11.9 12.0 10.7 8.4 6.2 4.2 3.6 4.2 5.6 7.2 9.1 10.6 7.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 50.9 44.6 45.4 55.5 57.6 55.2 56.6 60.7 52.5 58.4 66.2 62.3 665.5
    Mean Rain Days 9.7 8.8 10.2 11.3 12.8 12.8 13.9 13.7 12.9 13.6 13.8 11.9 141.7