Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 04:05 PM EST on Thursday 25 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Friday 26 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Thursday 25 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Central Plateau Lakes, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Central North Coast and East of Flinders Island
Wind Warnings for Friday 26 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EST Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Lilydale (41.2503°S, 147.2172°E, 167m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW4° 19° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:24am EST 6:52am EST 5:23pm EST 5:51pm EST NOW9.0° Feels Like: 7.6° Relative Humidity: 69% Dew: 3.6° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1019.0hPa -
Today Weather
LilydaleNow9.6°cFeels Like:7.4°Wind:SW 6km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:73%4°Min19°MaxToday in LilydalePatches of frost and the chance of fog in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 19.Tomorrow4°Min19°MaxPartly cloudy. The chance of fog and frost in the morning. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Patches of frost and the chance of fog in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 19.
Forecast for Lilydale (41.2503°S, 147.2172°E, 167m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 4° 6° 9° 11° 4° 3° 3° Maximum 19° 17° 17° 16° 14° 16° 16° Chance of rain 5% 50% 80% 50% 10% 20% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Slight Moderate Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 4
(km/h)8
(km/h)3
(km/h)14
(km/h)5
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)7
(km/h)Wind direction SW NW SE WNW WNW NNW WNW W SW SSW SSW SW S W Relative humidity 72% 56% 82% 66% 85% 75% 83% 55% 66% 49% 68% 56% 68% 63% Dew point 7°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 7°C 4°C 4°C 5°C 7°C 6°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Lilydale Rain Forecast
Lilydale 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Lilydale Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 215.0 °C 20.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 228.1 °C 15.6 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 237.1 °C 20.5 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 246.8 °C 14.7 °C 22.2 mmThursday
Apr 257.1 °C 13.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Lilydale minimum temp history (41.2503°S, 147.2172°E, 167m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.7° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 4.4° 10/04/2024 Hottest on record 26.5 02/04/2005 Coldest on record -2.8 27/04/1978 Hottest this year 30.2° 11/03/2024 Coldest this year 2.6° 21/03/2024 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 7.9° Average this month 18.8° Average this month 8.1° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.3° 2002 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.0° 1975 Lilydale rainfall history (41.2503°S, 147.2172°E, 167m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 30.6mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 64.6mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 77.9mm 12.6 days Wettest April on record 203.8mm 1980 Driest on record 15.2mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Lilydale Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 233.8mm 39.9 day(s) Total For 2024 158.0mm 25.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 205.8mm 45.0 day(s) Wettest Day 42.6mm Jan 4 Lowest Temperature 2.6°C Mar21 Highest Temperature 30.2°C Mar11 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Lilydale Climatology
Lilydale Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.0 23.0 21.3 17.8 14.8 12.6 12.0 12.6 14.3 16.5 18.9 20.9 17.2 Mean Min (°C) 11.0 11.3 10.1 7.9 5.9 4.3 3.8 3.9 4.9 5.9 7.9 9.4 7.2 Mean Rain (mm) 58.5 40.8 56.6 77.9 95.2 102.8 117.9 116.6 92.3 83.3 67.3 64.6 973.2 Mean Rain Days 9.2 8.2 9.9 12.6 15.2 15.5 17.2 18.0 16.1 14.8 12.4 11.7 160.3