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Forecast

Lileah (40.9636°S, 145.1615°E, 223m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 15° 25°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:53am EDT 6:23am EDT 8:42pm EDT 9:13pm EDT
    NOW
    18.4° Feels Like: 17.3°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 16.4°
    Wind: ENE 17km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1010.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lileah
    Now
    18.2°c
    Feels Like:
    15.9°
    Wind:
    NNE 18km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Lileah
    Hot and mostly sunny. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    17°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Hot. Mostly sunny morning. High chance of rain in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the evening. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening then becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lileah

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.

    Forecast for Lileah (40.9636°S, 145.1615°E, 223m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Late shower Wind and rain increasing Windy with showers Clearing shower Windy Windy
    Minimum 15° 17° 17° 13° 10° 10°
    Maximum 25° 23° 19° 17° 15° 16° 18°
    Chance of rain 5% 90% 80% 70% 50% 5% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NW E E W WSW WNW W WSW WSW SSW WSW SSW S
    Relative humidity 79% 52% 68% 59% 96% 82% 75% 66% 72% 55% 65% 53% 70% 60%
    Dew point 15°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 19°C 15°C 10°C 10°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lileah Rain Forecast


    Lileah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lileah Rain Forecast


    Lileah 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lileah Rain Forecast


    Lileah 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    HIGH
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    HIGH
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lileah Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    13.4 °C 18.8 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    14.4 °C 21.1 °C
    1.4 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    8.9 °C 20.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    9.7 °C 21.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    13.9 °C 21 °C
    0.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lileah minimum temp history (40.9636°S, 145.1615°E, 223m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.0° 14/01/2020 Coldest this month 3.4° 22/01/2020
    Hottest on record 36.6 30/01/2009 Coldest on record 0.4 19/01/2004
    Hottest this year 25.0° 14/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.4° 22/01/2020
    Long term average 21.6° Long term average 11.1°
    Average this month 21.3° Average this month 11.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.5° 2016 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 8.7° 2004
    Lileah rainfall history (40.9636°S, 145.1615°E, 223m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 26.8mm 23/01/2020 Total This Month 49.2mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 41.7mm 10.2 days Wettest January on record 118.6mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Lileah Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 41.7mm 10.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 49.2mm 12.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 6.0mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 26.8mm Jan23
    Lowest Temperature 3.4°C Jan22
    Highest Temperature 25.0°C Jan14
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Lileah Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.6 21.9 20.4 17.9 15.4 13.7 13.2 13.7 14.9 16.3 18.3 19.6 17.3
    Mean Min (°C) 11.1 11.5 9.7 7.6 6.3 5.0 4.7 5.2 6.2 6.9 8.7 9.7 7.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 41.7 32.7 52.5 58.3 90.1 98.7 120.2 123.2 99.9 77.8 60.2 57.9 907.5
    Mean Rain Days 10.2 8.9 12.4 16.4 21.1 20.4 23.8 23.5 21.4 18.7 13.5 13.1 188.6