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Forecast

Lake Mackenzie (41.6666°S, 146.24°E, 496m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 11°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:24am EST 6:52am EST 5:43pm EST 6:11pm EST
    NOW
    4.8° Feels Like: 1.1°
    Relative Humidity: 72%
    Dew: 0.3°
    Wind: WNW 9km/h
    Gust: WNW 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.8mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Lake Mackenzie
    Now
    -0.8°c
    Feels Like:
     
    Wind:
    SW 22km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
     
    Mostly cloudy
     
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Lake Mackenzie
    Cloudy. Areas of morning frost. High chance of showers in the west, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Snow falling above 700 metres, gradually rising. Possible hail in the west this morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 3 and 8.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the west, slight chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 5 and 10.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Areas of morning frost. High chance of showers in the west, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Snow falling above 700 metres, gradually rising. Possible hail in the west this morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 3 and 8.

    Forecast for Lake Mackenzie (41.6666°S, 146.24°E, 496m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly cloudy Late shower Late shower Rain Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Late shower
    Minimum -1°
    Maximum 11° 13° 13° 10° 11° 11° 12°
    Chance of rain 10% 60% 80% 80% 5% 20% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Moderate Moderate Nil Nil High High Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WSW W W WNW WNW WNW WSW SSW SSE SE ENE E NNE
    Relative humidity 72% 56% 79% 68% 80% 67% 92% 61% 66% 53% 70% 61% 81% 72%
    Dew point 1°C 2°C 3°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 2°C -2°C 2°C 0°C 4°C 4°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lake Mackenzie Rain Forecast


    Lake Mackenzie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    HIGH
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    6
    HIGH
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 August to 3 September, 8 September to 12 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lake Mackenzie Rain Forecast


    Lake Mackenzie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    7
    7
    6
    4
    6
    6
    6
    4
    1
    5
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lake Mackenzie Rain Forecast


    Lake Mackenzie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    30
    31
    HIGH
    Sep 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    6
    HIGH
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 August to 3 September, 8 September to 12 September, and 25 September to 29 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 August to 26 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 August to 3 September, 4 September to 8 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lake Mackenzie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 20
    2.6 °C 13.6 °C
    1.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 21
    5.2 °C 9.6 °C
    14.4 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    2.9 °C 10.1 °C
    8.8 mm
    Friday
    Aug 23
    0.3 °C 13.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 24
    5.4 °C 13 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lake Mackenzie minimum temp history (41.6666°S, 146.24°E, 496m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 14.5° 13/08/2019 Coldest this month -0.7° 08/08/2019
    Hottest on record 17.7 24/08/2005 Coldest on record -2.4 21/08/2013
    Hottest this year 33.0° 22/01/2019 Coldest this year -1.6° 08/06/2019
    Long term average 11.6° Long term average 3.8°
    Average this month 11.3° Average this month 2.4°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 12.7° 1999 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 1.6° 2015
    Lake Mackenzie rainfall history (41.6666°S, 146.24°E, 496m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.4mm 21/08/2019 Total This Month 57.2mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 130.4mm 17.6 days Wettest August on record 309.6mm 1999
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Lake Mackenzie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 707.8mm 103.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 617.0mm 102.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 759.2mm 117.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 65.2mm Jun30
    Lowest Temperature -1.6°C Jun 8
    Highest Temperature 33.0°C Jan22
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lake Mackenzie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.0 21.9 20.0 16.5 13.6 11.7 10.9 11.6 13.3 15.2 17.9 19.7 16.2
    Mean Min (°C) 10.6 10.9 9.4 7.1 5.4 4.0 3.4 3.8 4.7 5.7 7.6 9.0 6.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 61.7 42.2 59.0 63.0 101.5 119.3 130.7 130.4 130.5 88.0 84.9 68.1 1072.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.8 8.4 9.0 10.9 15.2 16.0 17.8 17.6 17.2 13.1 11.2 10.0 149.7