Forecast
Lake Leake (42.0128°S, 147.8008°E, 624m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY10° 21° Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:53am EDT 5:27am EDT 8:32pm EDT 9:06pm EDT NOW17.4° Feels Like: 9.9° Relative Humidity: 30% Dew: -0.3° Wind: W 28km/h Gust: 54km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Lake LeakeNow11.6°cFeels Like:1.7°Wind:W 43km/hGusts:69km/hHumidity:57%10°Min21°MaxToday in Lake LeakePartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, most likely during this afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h becoming W 35 to 50 km/h in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 21.Tomorrow10°Min21°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h tending SW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Lake Leake
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, most likely during this afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h becoming W 35 to 50 km/h in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 21.
Forecast for Lake Leake (42.0128°S, 147.8008°E, 624m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 10° 10° 10° 12° 14° 10° 11° Maximum 21° 21° 20° 24° 23° 21° 21° Chance of rain 10% 20% 5% 30% 10% 90% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 28
(km/h)35
(km/h)23
(km/h)29
(km/h)12
(km/h)6
(km/h)15
(km/h)17
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction WNW W W WSW WSW ESE NNW NNW WSW SW W SW WNW W Relative humidity 58% 45% 61% 54% 62% 42% 61% 43% 64% 43% 61% 46% 72% 54% Dew point 9°C 8°C 8°C 11°C 8°C 7°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 11°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Lake Leake Rain Forecast
Lake Leake 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
HIGH7
HIGH8
9
MEDIUM10
LOW11
LOW12
13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
MEDIUM17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
21
LOW22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
28
MEDIUM29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
MEDIUM3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Lake Leake Rain Forecast
Lake Leake 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020675665637667105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Lake Leake Rain Forecast
Lake Leake 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
HIGH7
HIGH8
9
MEDIUM10
LOW11
LOW12
13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
MEDIUM17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
21
LOW22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
28
MEDIUM29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
Jan 1
2
MEDIUM3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 6Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 December to 15 December, 29 December to 2 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 December to 17 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Lake Leake Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 024.1 °C 11.3 °C 1.4 mmTuesday
Dec 033.3 °C - 1.8 mmWednesday
Dec 04- 14.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 052.6 °C 15.0 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 065.4 °C - 1.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Lake Leake minimum temp history (42.0128°S, 147.8008°E, 624m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 14.8° 04/12/2019 Coldest this month 2.6° 05/12/2019 Hottest on record 32.2 10/12/2006 Coldest on record -2.7 04/12/2008 Hottest this year 31.9° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -6.3° 17/09/2019 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 7.0° Average this month 12.7° Average this month 3.2° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.6° 1994 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 4.6° 1996 Lake Leake rainfall history (42.0128°S, 147.8008°E, 624m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 18.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 21.2mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 72.8mm 11.1 days Wettest December on record 258.1mm 1994 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for TAS
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Year to Date
Lake Leake Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 822.2mm 148.0 day(s) Total For 2019 525.3mm 203.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 586.6mm 219.0 day(s) Wettest Day 47.0mm Sep 7 Lowest Temperature -6.3°C Sep17 Highest Temperature 31.9°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Lake Leake Climatology
Lake Leake Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 19.5 19.1 17.6 14.2 11.4 9.0 8.6 9.4 11.5 13.8 15.8 17.8 14.0 Mean Min (°C) 8.4 8.3 6.2 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.5 5.5 7.0 4.1 Mean Rain (mm) 52.8 45.7 61.7 67.6 71.2 86.0 75.2 79.2 70.6 73.9 65.5 72.8 821.8 Mean Rain Days 8.7 8.1 10.3 11.9 13.5 14.2 15.2 15.3 14.2 13.6 11.9 11.1 145.3