Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:01 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 24 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Tuesday 23 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Storm Bay, Channel, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast and Central West Coast
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 24 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Central Plateau Lakes, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound and Central West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Kellatier (41.0916°S, 145.6712°E, 211m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW5° 15° windy with showers Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:29am EST 6:57am EST 5:33pm EST 6:01pm EST NOW13.7° Feels Like: 13.3° Relative Humidity: 97% Dew: 13.2° Wind: NW 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm Pressure: 1009.2hPa -
Today Weather
KellatierNow9.7°cFeels Like:7.2°Wind:N 11km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:93%5°Min15°MaxToday in KellatierCloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, high chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.Tomorrow5°Min15°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, high chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.
Forecast for Kellatier (41.0916°S, 145.6712°E, 211m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 5° 7° 7° 5° 7° 7° 5° Maximum 15° 16° 18° 17° 18° 17° 16° Chance of rain 30% 5% 5% 30% 70% 20% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)29
(km/h)26
(km/h)31
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)11
(km/h)21
(km/h)11
(km/h)24
(km/h)20
(km/h)26
(km/h)17
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction WSW W WSW SW WSW WSW W WNW WNW NW WSW WSW SSW SSW Relative humidity 68% 61% 73% 56% 77% 57% 78% 62% 80% 63% 79% 56% 70% 60% Dew point 6°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 10°C 7°C 8°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Kellatier Rain Forecast
Kellatier 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Kellatier Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 197.0 °C 18.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 202.9 °C 20.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 216.1 °C 19.3 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 225.9 °C 17.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 234.2 °C 18.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Kellatier minimum temp history (41.0916°S, 145.6712°E, 211m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.3° 07/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.5° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 27.2 10/04/2007 Coldest on record -2.3 25/04/1997 Hottest this year 28.3° 17/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.5° 09/04/2024 Long term average 17.6° Long term average 7.2° Average this month 18.9° Average this month 6.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.2° 2007 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.0° 1965 Kellatier rainfall history (41.0916°S, 145.6712°E, 211m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 54.2mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 56.8mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 70.3mm 13.6 days Wettest April on record 225.6mm 1956 Driest on record 13.4mm 1963 -
Year to Date
Kellatier Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 211.7mm 42.3 day(s) Total For 2024 150.4mm 21.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 168.0mm 34.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 1.5°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 28.3°C Feb17 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Kellatier Climatology
Kellatier Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.7 21.8 20.2 17.6 15.2 13.5 12.8 13.3 14.5 16.3 18.1 19.8 17.0 Mean Min (°C) 11.4 11.6 9.7 7.2 5.3 4.2 3.6 4.0 5.0 6.2 8.3 9.7 7.1 Mean Rain (mm) 44.2 46.8 50.4 70.3 95.6 108.4 129.8 115.9 93.8 93.4 73.1 63.1 975.7 Mean Rain Days 8.9 8.6 11.2 13.6 17.8 19.0 21.8 21.3 18.2 16.8 13.5 11.9 182.3