Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central North forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Central North forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Howden (43.0267°S, 147.2929°E, 9m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 15° Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:24am EST 6:54am EST 5:23pm EST 5:52pm EST NOW16.9° Feels Like: 15.2° Relative Humidity: 65% Dew: 10.3° Wind: N 9km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1008.0hPa -
Today Weather
HowdenNow16.5°cFeels Like:15.6°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:50%8°Min15°MaxToday in HowdenCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W 35 to 55 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 16.Tomorrow8°Min15°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W 35 to 55 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 16.
Forecast for Howden (43.0267°S, 147.2929°E, 9m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 8° 9° 10° 9° 9° 10° 8° Maximum 15° 15° 18° 18° 19° 16° 16° Chance of rain 30% 30% 5% 10% 50% 30% 60% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Low Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 27
(km/h)31
(km/h)27
(km/h)31
(km/h)15
(km/h)19
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)26
(km/h)20
(km/h)26
(km/h)Wind direction WSW W WSW WSW W W NNW NW N NNW W WSW W SW Relative humidity 60% 58% 63% 56% 66% 56% 68% 54% 66% 51% 64% 53% 63% 62% Dew point 3°C 6°C 5°C 5°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Howden Rain Forecast
Howden 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Howden Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 1910.3 °C 17.5 °C 0.6 mmSaturday
Apr 208.1 °C 20.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 2110.4 °C 20.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 229.4 °C 18.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 238.3 °C 20.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Howden minimum temp history (43.0267°S, 147.2929°E, 9m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.6° 14/04/2024 Coldest this month 8.1° 20/04/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 31.0° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 8.1° 20/04/2024 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 10.4° Average this month 18.9° Average this month 10.6° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Howden rainfall history (43.0267°S, 147.2929°E, 9m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 10.2mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 18.8mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 33.8mm 11.5 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 10.8mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Howden Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 134.8mm 38.9 day(s) Total For 2024 70.6mm 32.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 152.8mm 38.0 day(s) Wettest Day 12.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 8.1°C Apr20 Highest Temperature 31.0°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Howden Climatology
Howden Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 22.1 21.5 20.3 17.8 15.0 13.0 12.8 13.2 15.1 16.7 18.3 20.3 17.1 Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.2 12.4 10.4 8.5 7.1 6.5 6.3 7.6 8.7 10.2 11.7 9.7 Mean Rain (mm) 32.6 27.8 40.6 33.8 51.5 51.5 41.9 50.5 37.7 56.9 44.7 42.9 522.7 Mean Rain Days 7.8 9.2 10.4 11.5 13.6 13.7 14.5 15.5 14.0 13.8 13.7 11.4 149.2