Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central North forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Central North forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Golden Valley (41.6505°S, 146.7447°E, 525m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY4° 15° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:25am EST 6:54am EST 5:29pm EST 5:58pm EST NOW10.1° Feels Like: 5.4° Relative Humidity: 72% Dew: 5.3° Wind: NW 19km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1011.9hPa -
Today Weather
Golden ValleyNow14.6°cFeels Like:12.9°Wind:N 11km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:82%4°Min15°MaxToday in Golden ValleyCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely later this evening. The chance of thunderstorms in the far W later this evening. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the evening.Tomorrow-3°Min7°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, high chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely later this evening. The chance of thunderstorms in the far W later this evening. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Golden Valley (41.6505°S, 146.7447°E, 525m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 4° -3° -1° 0° 0° 0° 1° Maximum 15° 7° 8° 11° 12° 11° 8° Chance of rain 90% 80% 30% 5% 5% 80% 50% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Slight Severe High High High High Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 24
(km/h)15
(km/h)37
(km/h)30
(km/h)32
(km/h)31
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)20
(km/h)23
(km/h)24
(km/h)26
(km/h)Wind direction NNW N WSW W WSW SW WSW WSW NW WNW NNW NNW W WSW Relative humidity 56% 69% 86% 78% 90% 76% 89% 69% 81% 60% 81% 70% 87% 71% Dew point 1°C 6°C -1°C 3°C 2°C 2°C 4°C 4°C 3°C 4°C 3°C 5°C 3°C 0°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Golden Valley Rain Forecast
Golden Valley 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Golden Valley Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Apr 18- - -Friday
Apr 19- - -Saturday
Apr 20- - -Sunday
Apr 21- - -Monday
Apr 22- - -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Golden Valley minimum temp history (41.6505°S, 146.7447°E, 525m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.0° 18/12/2022 Coldest this month 5.0° 18/12/2022 Hottest on record 27.5 01/04/2005 Coldest on record -5.4 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 35.1° 01/01/2022 Coldest this year -4.1° 14/06/2022 Long term average 18.3° Long term average 5.7° Average this month 20.0° Average this month 6.7° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.4° 2002 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 2.9° 1999 Golden Valley rainfall history (41.6505°S, 146.7447°E, 525m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 17/12/2022 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 57.6mm 15.5 days Wettest April on record 82.6mm 2003 Driest on record 9.6mm 2015 -
Year to Date
Golden Valley Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 256.1mm 59.7 day(s) Total For 2023 0.0mm 0.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2022 232.8mm 53.0 day(s) Wettest Day 34.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature -4.1°C Jun14 Highest Temperature 35.1°C Jan 1 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Golden Valley Climatology
Golden Valley Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.4 24.9 22.6 18.3 14.8 12.3 11.8 12.9 14.9 17.3 20.5 23.0 18.2 Mean Min (°C) 10.5 10.5 8.5 5.7 3.6 1.9 1.6 2.5 3.9 5.2 7.3 8.6 5.8 Mean Rain (mm) 38.6 27.8 43.1 41.2 47.8 57.6 62.6 65.0 58.1 53.4 49.4 43.9 585.5 Mean Rain Days 6.3 7.1 7.5 9.2 14.1 15.5 17.0 17.0 13.6 11.7 9.5 9.4 135.9