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Forecast

Flinders Island (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 13°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:22am EST 5:49am EST 6:10pm EST 6:37pm EST
    NOW
    0.4° Feels Like: -6.1°
    Relative Humidity: 89%
    Dew: -1.2°
    Wind: SW 22km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Flinders Island
    Now
    11.3°c
    Feels Like:
    4.7°
    Wind:
    SW 24km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    47%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Flinders Island
    Partly cloudy. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures around 13.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 8 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Flinders Island

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures around 13.

    Forecast for Flinders Island (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Windy with showers
    Minimum 11° 10° 10° 12°
    Maximum 13° 13° 15° 17° 15° 18° 18°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 20% 70% 10% 50% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW WSW WSW W NNE NE N NNW W WNW NW WNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 50% 57% 73% 70% 75% 64% 83% 75% 71% 67% 74% 68% 72% 67%
    Dew point 1°C 4°C 7°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 12°C 11°C 8°C 8°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Flinders Island Rain Forecast


    Flinders Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Flinders Island Rain Forecast


    Flinders Island 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    5
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    5
    4
    7
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Flinders Island Rain Forecast


    Flinders Island 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Flinders Island Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Flinders Island

  13. Past 5 Days

    Flinders Island Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    10.1 °C 14.1 °C
    4.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    10.1 °C 13.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    3.8 °C 13.3 °C
    0.4 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 26
    6.3 °C 13.3 °C
    1.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 27
    8.2 °C 11.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Flinders Island minimum temp history (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.8° 08/09/2020 Coldest this month 1.5° 18/09/2020
    Hottest on record 29.5 27/09/1987 Coldest on record -2.5 27/09/1995
    Hottest this year 38.5° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -0.9° 07/08/2020
    Long term average 15.2° Long term average 7.6°
    Average this month 15.8° Average this month 8.7°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.1° 2001 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 4.8° 1970
    Flinders Island rainfall history (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.0mm 13/09/2020 Total This Month 50.8mm
    16.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.2mm 15.4 days Wettest September on record 134.4mm 1986
    Driest on record 6.1mm 1949
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Flinders Island Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 564.0mm 127.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 563.0mm 137.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 404.8mm 130.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 63.0mm Feb19
    Lowest Temperature -0.9°C Aug 7
    Highest Temperature 38.5°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Flinders Island Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.2 22.7 21.4 18.8 16.3 14.1 13.4 13.8 15.2 16.8 18.6 20.3 17.7
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.8 12.6 10.7 9.0 7.1 6.3 6.6 7.6 8.6 10.3 11.9 9.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.8 38.1 50.3 58.0 78.8 72.8 82.0 76.0 63.2 58.1 55.5 57.4 735.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.7 7.8 10.0 13.0 16.8 18.0 19.5 18.5 15.4 13.8 11.5 10.5 160.5