Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:00 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Thursday 25 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 24 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Channel, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Storm Bay and Central West Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 25 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Central Plateau Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Central West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EST Thursday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Flinders Island (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY11° 17° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:19am EST 6:47am EST 5:24pm EST 5:52pm EST NOW13.6° Feels Like: 5.0° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 8.4° Wind: SW 43km/h Gust: 48km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.8mm Pressure: 1015.8hPa -
Today Weather
Flinders IslandNow12.5°cFeels Like:8.0°Wind:W 19km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:65%11°Min17°MaxToday in Flinders IslandPartly cloudy. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h turning SW 25 to 40 km/h early in the morning then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.Tomorrow10°Min17°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Winds W 30 to 45 km/h turning SW 25 to 40 km/h early in the morning then decreasing to 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.
Forecast for Flinders Island (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 11° 10° 11° 10° 11° 10° 7° Maximum 17° 17° 17° 19° 18° 16° 15° Chance of rain 5% 5% 30% 30% 70% 5% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 43
(km/h)37
(km/h)21
(km/h)25
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)16
(km/h)22
(km/h)34
(km/h)37
(km/h)21
(km/h)24
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW WSW W WNW W NNW NW W WSW SW SSW SSE SSW Relative humidity 65% 62% 71% 67% 77% 74% 75% 68% 77% 64% 62% 56% 66% 56% Dew point 8°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 9°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Flinders Island Rain Forecast
Flinders Island 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025767566675766105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Flinders Island Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 204.2 °C 18.3 °C 0.2 mmSunday
Apr 2114.0 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2213.8 °C 20.2 °C 0.4 mmTuesday
Apr 236.1 °C 23.2 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 2412.3 °C 15.1 °C 5.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Flinders Island minimum temp history (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.8° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 4.2° 20/04/2024 Hottest on record 31.7 10/04/2005 Coldest on record -0.4 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 37.4° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 4.2° 20/04/2024 Long term average 18.8° Long term average 10.8° Average this month 19.1° Average this month 11.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.3° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 8.8° 1999 Flinders Island rainfall history (39.9403°S, 148.0258°E, 26m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 23.2mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 64.6mm
13.0 daysLong Term Average 57.7mm 13.1 days Wettest April on record 136.8mm 1956 Driest on record 9.0mm 1958 -
Year to Date
Flinders Island Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 191.4mm 39.9 day(s) Total For 2024 131.6mm 29.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 149.6mm 42.0 day(s) Wettest Day 23.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 4.2°C Apr20 Highest Temperature 37.4°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Flinders Island Climatology
Flinders Island Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 22.3 22.7 21.4 18.8 16.2 14.1 13.4 13.8 15.2 16.9 18.7 20.4 17.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.8 12.7 10.8 9.0 7.1 6.4 6.6 7.6 8.7 10.3 12.0 9.9 Mean Rain (mm) 45.9 37.9 49.9 57.7 77.6 72.7 80.0 74.9 61.6 59.1 54.5 57.3 726.2 Mean Rain Days 8.7 8.0 10.1 13.1 16.8 18.2 19.6 18.6 15.3 13.8 11.4 10.5 163.8