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Forecast

Exeter (41.3002°S, 146.9534°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Cloudy 12° 22°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:58am EDT 5:31am EDT 8:38pm EDT 9:11pm EDT
    NOW
    19.0° Feels Like: 16.3°
    Relative Humidity: 58%
    Dew: 10.5°
    Wind: NW 15km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Exeter
    Now
    17.1°c
    Feels Like:
    14.6°
    Wind:
    NW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    69%
    Cloudy
     
    12°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Exeter
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during this afternoon and early evening. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 20.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during this afternoon and early evening. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 22.

    Forecast for Exeter (41.3002°S, 146.9534°E, 65m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Cloudy Mostly sunny Late shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 11° 10° 11° 11° 9° 11°
    Maximum 22° 22° 21° 22° 22° 24° 30°
    Chance of rain 20% 40% 10% 30% 40% 10% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNW WNW WSW NW WNW WNW WNW NW NW NW NNW NW NW
    Relative humidity 67% 55% 57% 31% 63% 56% 68% 46% 71% 53% 64% 46% 65% 40%
    Dew point 10°C 13°C 7°C 4°C 8°C 12°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 14°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Exeter Rain Forecast

    Exeter 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Exeter Rain Forecast

    Exeter 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    4
    6
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Exeter Rain Forecast

    Exeter 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Exeter Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Dec 07     		8.3 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08     		5.4 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09     		13.3 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10     		11.9 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11     		12.8 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Exeter minimum temp history (41.3002°S, 146.9534°E, 65m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.0° 08/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.4° 08/12/2019
    Hottest on record 33.8 06/12/1994 Coldest on record 2.0 12/12/1995
    Hottest this year 33.5° 02/03/2019 Coldest this year -3.2° 24/06/2019
    Long term average 22.5° Long term average 10.8°
    Average this month 20.5° Average this month 9.4°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.3° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 8.4° 1996
    Exeter rainfall history (41.3002°S, 146.9534°E, 65m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.8mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 1.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 46.7mm 8.6 days Wettest December on record 145.1mm 2015

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Exeter Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 680.5mm 128.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 479.4mm 116.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 587.0mm 133.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 29.4mm Feb12
    Lowest Temperature -3.2°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 33.5°C Mar 2

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Exeter Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.5 24.6 22.8 19.1 15.8 13.2 12.7 13.8 15.7 18.0 20.5 22.5 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.3 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.2 2.9 2.4 3.6 5.3 6.9 9.1 10.8 7.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 46.4 30.3 38.9 51.0 65.2 68.7 77.9 86.3 66.6 50.0 52.5 46.7 680.7
    Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.0 6.5 9.1 12.0 13.3 15.4 15.9 14.0 11.3 9.8 8.6 125.9

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