Forecast
Ellerslie (41.7684°S, 147.3059°E, 196m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY7° 15° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:18am EST 6:46am EST 5:33pm EST 6:01pm EST NOW16.2° Feels Like: 10.1° Relative Humidity: 49% Dew: 5.5° Wind: SE 26km/h Gust: 30km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: 1023.5hPa -
Today Weather
EllerslieNow17.7°cFeels Like:13.2°Wind:SE 17km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:41%7°Min15°MaxToday in EllerslieCloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S early this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 16.Tomorrow4°Min18°MaxSunny. Patches of morning frost. Light winds becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 2 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20. -
Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Ellerslie
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S early this morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 16.
Forecast for Ellerslie (41.7684°S, 147.3059°E, 196m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 7° 4° 6° 6° 10° 6° 6° Maximum 15° 18° 19° 16° 17° 12° 12° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 70% 30% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)16
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)4
(km/h)14
(km/h)24
(km/h)17
(km/h)18
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction S SSE SW NW SE W NNW NNW NNW NW WNW WNW WSW SW Relative humidity 68% 48% 77% 42% 71% 44% 82% 61% 78% 56% 75% 51% 66% 48% Dew point 6°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 4°C 2°C 3°C 2°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ellerslie Rain Forecast
Ellerslie 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025967666684666105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ellerslie Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 13- - -Sunday
Apr 14- - -Monday
Apr 15- - -Tuesday
Apr 16- - -Wednesday
Apr 17- - -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ellerslie minimum temp history (41.7684°S, 147.3059°E, 196m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.0° 18/12/2022 Coldest this month 5.0° 18/12/2022 Hottest on record 27.5 01/04/2005 Coldest on record -5.4 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 35.1° 01/01/2022 Coldest this year -4.1° 14/06/2022 Long term average 18.3° Long term average 5.7° Average this month 20.0° Average this month 6.7° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.4° 2002 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 2.9° 1999 Ellerslie rainfall history (41.7684°S, 147.3059°E, 196m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 17/12/2022 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 57.6mm 15.5 days Wettest April on record 82.6mm 2003 Driest on record 9.6mm 2015 -
Year to Date
Ellerslie Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 256.1mm 59.7 day(s) Total For 2023 0.0mm 0.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2022 232.8mm 53.0 day(s) Wettest Day 34.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature -4.1°C Jun14 Highest Temperature 35.1°C Jan 1 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ellerslie Climatology
Ellerslie Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.4 24.9 22.6 18.3 14.8 12.3 11.8 12.9 14.9 17.3 20.5 23.0 18.2 Mean Min (°C) 10.5 10.5 8.5 5.7 3.6 1.9 1.6 2.5 3.9 5.2 7.3 8.6 5.8 Mean Rain (mm) 38.6 27.8 43.1 41.2 47.8 57.6 62.6 65.0 58.1 53.4 49.4 43.9 585.5 Mean Rain Days 6.3 7.1 7.5 9.2 14.1 15.5 17.0 17.0 13.6 11.7 9.5 9.4 135.9