Forecast
Elizabeth Town (41.4476°S, 146.5735°E, 198m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 16° possible shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:01am EDT 5:35am EDT 8:44pm EDT 9:18pm EDT NOW10.8° Feels Like: 7.2° Relative Humidity: 60% Dew: 3.3° Wind: WNW 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Elizabeth TownNow13.7°cFeels Like:7.5°Wind:W 26km/hGusts:28km/hHumidity:56%8°Min16°MaxToday in Elizabeth TownCloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18.Tomorrow8°Min16°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h turning W/NW in the morning then tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Elizabeth Town
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18.
Forecast for Elizabeth Town (41.4476°S, 146.5735°E, 198m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 8° 7° 9° 12° 13° 11° 10° Maximum 16° 21° 25° 25° 26° 23° 22° Chance of rain 80% 5% 5% 10% 10% 10% 50% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Very High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)25
(km/h)4
(km/h)18
(km/h)5
(km/h)17
(km/h)5
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)18
(km/h)9
(km/h)20
(km/h)10
(km/h)-
(km/h)Wind direction NW WNW SW N ESE N ENE N SW W NNE N SW - Relative humidity 88% 73% 58% 51% 64% 53% 69% 51% 42% 30% 62% 49% 54% n/a Dew point 9°C 11°C 6°C 10°C 11°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 6°C 7°C 9°C 12°C 8°C n/a -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Elizabeth Town Rain Forecast
Elizabeth Town 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
LOW11
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec14Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Elizabeth Town Rain Forecast
Elizabeth Town 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020565465657656105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Elizabeth Town Rain Forecast
Elizabeth Town 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
LOW22
23
24
25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
LOW3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
LOW11
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec14Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Elizabeth Town Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Dec 1010.0 °C 20.9 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1110.3 °C 18.4 °C 0.2 mmThursday
Dec 127.3 °C 16.9 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Dec 137.0 °C 17.7 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 1410.3 °C 19 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Elizabeth Town minimum temp history (41.4476°S, 146.5735°E, 198m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 20.9° 10/12/2019 Coldest this month 3.5° 02/12/2019 Hottest on record 30.3 31/12/2015 Coldest on record 1.2 04/12/2008 Hottest this year 33.0° 22/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.1° 17/09/2019 Long term average 19.7° Long term average 9.0° Average this month 16.7° Average this month 7.3° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.9° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 7.1° 2008 Elizabeth Town rainfall history (41.4476°S, 146.5735°E, 198m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.2mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 3.8mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 68.1mm 10.0 days Wettest December on record 193.0mm 2015 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for TAS
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Year to Date
Elizabeth Town Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 1079.3mm 155.2 day(s) Total For 2019 759.6mm 147.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 975.8mm 168.0 day(s) Wettest Day 65.2mm Jun30 Lowest Temperature -2.1°C Sep17 Highest Temperature 33.0°C Jan22 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Elizabeth Town Climatology
Elizabeth Town Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 22.0 21.9 20.0 16.5 13.6 11.7 10.9 11.6 13.3 15.2 17.9 19.7 16.2 Mean Min (°C) 10.6 10.9 9.4 7.1 5.4 4.0 3.4 3.8 4.7 5.7 7.6 9.0 6.8 Mean Rain (mm) 61.7 42.2 59.0 63.0 101.5 119.3 130.7 130.4 130.5 88.0 84.9 68.1 1072.2 Mean Rain Days 8.8 8.4 9.0 10.9 15.2 16.0 17.8 17.6 17.2 13.1 11.2 10.0 149.7