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Forecast

Elizabeth Town (41.4476°S, 146.5735°E, 198m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 16°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:01am EDT 5:35am EDT 8:44pm EDT 9:18pm EDT
    NOW
    10.8° Feels Like: 7.2°
    Relative Humidity: 60%
    Dew: 3.3°
    Wind: WNW 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Elizabeth Town
    Now
    13.7°c
    Feels Like:
    7.5°
    Wind:
    W 26km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    56%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Elizabeth Town
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h turning W/NW in the morning then tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Elizabeth Town

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 30 km/h before tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18.

    Forecast for Elizabeth Town (41.4476°S, 146.5735°E, 198m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Late shower
    Minimum 12° 13° 11° 10°
    Maximum 16° 21° 25° 25° 26° 23° 22°
    Chance of rain 80% 5% 5% 10% 10% 10% 50%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    -
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW SW N ESE N ENE N SW W NNE N SW -
    Relative humidity 88% 73% 58% 51% 64% 53% 69% 51% 42% 30% 62% 49% 54% n/a
    Dew point 9°C 11°C 6°C 10°C 11°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 6°C 7°C 9°C 12°C 8°C n/a
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Elizabeth Town Rain Forecast


    Elizabeth Town 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Elizabeth Town Rain Forecast


    Elizabeth Town 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    4
    6
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Elizabeth Town Rain Forecast


    Elizabeth Town 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Elizabeth Town Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    10.0 °C 20.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    10.3 °C 18.4 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    7.3 °C 16.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    7.0 °C 17.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 14
    10.3 °C 19 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Elizabeth Town minimum temp history (41.4476°S, 146.5735°E, 198m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.9° 10/12/2019 Coldest this month 3.5° 02/12/2019
    Hottest on record 30.3 31/12/2015 Coldest on record 1.2 04/12/2008
    Hottest this year 33.0° 22/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.1° 17/09/2019
    Long term average 19.7° Long term average 9.0°
    Average this month 16.7° Average this month 7.3°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.9° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 7.1° 2008
    Elizabeth Town rainfall history (41.4476°S, 146.5735°E, 198m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.2mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 3.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 68.1mm 10.0 days Wettest December on record 193.0mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Elizabeth Town Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1079.3mm 155.2 day(s)
    Total For 2019 759.6mm 147.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 975.8mm 168.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 65.2mm Jun30
    Lowest Temperature -2.1°C Sep17
    Highest Temperature 33.0°C Jan22
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Elizabeth Town Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 22.0 21.9 20.0 16.5 13.6 11.7 10.9 11.6 13.3 15.2 17.9 19.7 16.2
    Mean Min (°C) 10.6 10.9 9.4 7.1 5.4 4.0 3.4 3.8 4.7 5.7 7.6 9.0 6.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 61.7 42.2 59.0 63.0 101.5 119.3 130.7 130.4 130.5 88.0 84.9 68.1 1072.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.8 8.4 9.0 10.9 15.2 16.0 17.8 17.6 17.2 13.1 11.2 10.0 149.7