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Forecast

Cressy (41.6848°S, 147.0806°E, 167m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 18°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:13am EDT 5:44am EDT 8:07pm EDT 8:38pm EDT
    NOW
    15.7° Feels Like: 6.1°
    Relative Humidity: 41%
    Dew: 2.5°
    Wind: WSW 41km/h
    Gust: 63km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Cressy
    Now
    17.1°c
    Feels Like:
    7.3°
    Wind:
    W 39km/h
    Gusts:
    56km/h
    Humidity:
    28%
    Late shower
     
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Cressy
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers this afternoon. Winds NW/SW 35 to 50 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning. Winds W/NW 35 to 50 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers this afternoon. Winds NW/SW 35 to 50 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 17.

    Forecast for Cressy (41.6848°S, 147.0806°E, 167m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Late shower Windy Windy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 18° 19° 17° 16° 17° 19° 22°
    Chance of rain 50% 10% 30% 20% 20% 40% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Slight Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW W NW NW WNW WNW WNW W NW W NNW NW NW W
    Relative humidity 63% 49% 76% 50% 59% 44% 58% 41% 63% 44% 68% 55% 68% 40%
    Dew point 4°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 5°C 4°C 3°C 3°C 4°C 5°C 6°C 9°C 9°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cressy Rain Forecast


    Cressy 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 November to 4 December, 5 December to 9 December, and 9 December to 13 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 November to 26 November, 3 December to 7 December, and 17 December to 21 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 December to 13 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cressy Rain Forecast


    Cressy 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    10
    4
    7
    6
    5
    5
    6
    6
    5
    9
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cressy Rain Forecast


    Cressy 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 November to 4 December, 5 December to 9 December, and 9 December to 13 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 November to 26 November, 3 December to 7 December, and 17 December to 21 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 December to 13 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cressy Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Nov 09
    0.8 °C 14.8 °C
    -
    Sunday
    Nov 10
    6.0 °C 19.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11
    6.8 °C 18.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    10.3 °C 17.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13
    4.4 °C 19 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cressy minimum temp history (41.6848°S, 147.0806°E, 167m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.5° 01/11/2019 Coldest this month -0.8° 05/11/2019
    Hottest on record 31.6 19/11/2009 Coldest on record -2.0 08/11/1999
    Hottest this year 34.9° 25/01/2019 Coldest this year -4.8° 17/09/2019
    Long term average 20.3° Long term average 7.3°
    Average this month 18.7° Average this month 6.1°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.6° 2007 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 4.2° 1999
    Cressy rainfall history (41.6848°S, 147.0806°E, 167m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.4mm 07/11/2019 Total This Month 13.4mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 54.6mm 9.4 days Wettest November on record 142.0mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Cressy Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 564.2mm 128.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 400.2mm 107.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 394.8mm 107.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 42.2mm Jul11
    Lowest Temperature -4.8°C Sep17
    Highest Temperature 34.9°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Cressy Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.2 25.1 22.7 18.3 14.8 12.3 11.9 12.9 14.9 17.2 20.3 22.8 18.1
    Mean Min (°C) 10.3 10.5 8.4 5.5 3.5 1.8 1.7 2.5 4.1 5.1 7.3 8.5 5.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 38.5 24.3 42.0 42.4 50.4 63.6 64.6 69.3 63.7 50.8 54.6 43.6 607.6
    Mean Rain Days 6.4 6.7 7.4 9.3 14.2 15.4 17.4 16.9 14.0 11.2 9.4 9.2 131.5