Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 04:05 PM EST on Friday 26 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Friday 26 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Friday 26 April
Cancellation for the following areas:
Lower East Coast and South East Coast
The next Marine Wind Warning Summary will be issued when required.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Castle Forbes Bay (43.1312°S, 146.9796°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 17° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:29am EST 6:59am EST 5:20pm EST 5:50pm EST NOW4.5° Feels Like: 2.1° Relative Humidity: 96% Dew: 3.9° Wind: N 6km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Castle Forbes BayNow12.6°cFeels Like:9.0°Wind:NW 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:68%8°Min17°MaxToday in Castle Forbes BayCloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 19.Tomorrow8°Min17°MaxCloudy. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 19.
Forecast for Castle Forbes Bay (43.1312°S, 146.9796°E, 2m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 8° 7° 8° 6° 5° 6° 5° Maximum 17° 19° 14° 13° 14° 14° 14° Chance of rain 10% 80% 60% 50% 80% 30% 50% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate High Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)10
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)20
(km/h)22
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)Wind direction NNW WNW N NNW W W WSW SW W SW WSW SSW WSW SSE Relative humidity 80% 68% 78% 58% 76% 59% 76% 71% 83% 68% 82% 69% 79% 67% Dew point 10°C 11°C 9°C 11°C 5°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Castle Forbes Bay Rain Forecast
Castle Forbes Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Castle Forbes Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Apr 221.6 °C 20.2 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 231.5 °C 22.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 246.7 °C 14.4 °C 13.6 mmThursday
Apr 258.2 °C 13.4 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 265.2 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Castle Forbes Bay minimum temp history (43.1312°S, 146.9796°E, 2m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.9° 06/04/2024 Coldest this month 0.3° 17/04/2024 Hottest on record 30.4 02/04/2005 Coldest on record -2.9 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 35.8° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 0.3° 17/04/2024 Long term average 18.0° Long term average 5.9° Average this month 18.3° Average this month 5.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.9° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 2008 Castle Forbes Bay rainfall history (43.1312°S, 146.9796°E, 2m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 20.2mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 44.0mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 45.4mm 14.5 days Wettest April on record 84.0mm 2006 Driest on record 19.0mm 2015 -
Year to Date
Castle Forbes Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 171.0mm 48.1 day(s) Total For 2024 109.4mm 34.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 131.4mm 43.0 day(s) Wettest Day 20.2mm Apr 3 Lowest Temperature 0.3°C Apr17 Highest Temperature 35.8°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Castle Forbes Bay Climatology
Castle Forbes Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.6 22.7 21.2 18.0 15.0 12.7 12.3 13.5 15.5 17.3 19.2 21.3 17.6 Mean Min (°C) 10.0 9.2 8.0 5.9 4.3 2.1 2.1 2.7 4.3 5.5 7.3 8.5 5.8 Mean Rain (mm) 38.8 43.7 43.1 45.4 69.2 66.4 66.9 86.9 75.1 70.1 55.8 61.4 729.2 Mean Rain Days 10.4 10.8 12.4 14.5 16.9 17.4 19.4 19.4 16.8 17.0 14.4 13.8 182.5