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Forecast

Cape Bruny (43.4913°S, 147.1421°E, 88m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 13° 24°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:34am EDT 6:07am EDT 8:41pm EDT 9:14pm EDT
    NOW
    15.0° Feels Like: 12.2°
    Relative Humidity: 81%
    Dew: 11.8°
    Wind: W 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1010.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Cape Bruny
    Now
    17.4°c
    Feels Like:
    17.1°
    Wind:
    W 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    74%
    Mostly sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Cape Bruny
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far south in the morning. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Hot and sunny. Winds W/NW 30 to 45 km/h shifting E/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the afternoon and evening then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 34.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Cape Bruny

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far south in the morning. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 27.

    Forecast for Cape Bruny (43.4913°S, 147.1421°E, 88m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Windy Mostly sunny Clearing shower Late shower Possible shower Clearing shower
    Minimum 13° 16° 13° 18° 11° 10°
    Maximum 24° 27° 27° 23° 18° 15° 17°
    Chance of rain 10% 20% 60% 40% 70% 90% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    46
    (km/h)
    51
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW WNW WSW NE NE W WSW WNW WNW W WSW W WSW
    Relative humidity 76% 65% 47% 61% 77% 57% 79% 72% 60% 54% 62% 60% 55% 51%
    Dew point 14°C 17°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 18°C 15°C 8°C 9°C 5°C 7°C 4°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cape Bruny Rain Forecast


    Cape Bruny 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 February to 19 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 9 February to 13 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 February to 11 February, 15 February to 19 February, and 29 February to 4 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cape Bruny Rain Forecast


    Cape Bruny 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    5
    7
    8
    8
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cape Bruny Rain Forecast


    Cape Bruny 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 February to 19 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 9 February to 13 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 February to 11 February, 15 February to 19 February, and 29 February to 4 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cape Bruny Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 24
    10.2 °C 20.8 °C
    17.2 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    12.4 °C 22.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    13.8 °C 19.8 °C
    2.6 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    12.5 °C 19.7 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    13.5 °C 22 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cape Bruny minimum temp history (43.4913°S, 147.1421°E, 88m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.9° 22/01/2020 Coldest this month 7.9° 18/01/2020
    Hottest on record 38.0 04/01/2013 Coldest on record 6.2 14/01/2004
    Hottest this year 27.9° 22/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.9° 18/01/2020
    Long term average 19.8° Long term average 12.1°
    Average this month 20.2° Average this month 11.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.1° 2016 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 10.9° 2004
    Cape Bruny rainfall history (43.4913°S, 147.1421°E, 88m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 22.6mm 23/01/2020 Total This Month 49.8mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 46.9mm 12.2 days Wettest January on record 105.4mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for TAS

  16. Year to Date

    Cape Bruny Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 46.9mm 12.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 49.8mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 9.6mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.6mm Jan23
    Lowest Temperature 7.9°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 27.9°C Jan22
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cape Bruny Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 19.8 20.0 18.8 16.6 14.3 12.5 12.1 12.8 14.5 15.4 16.8 18.4 16.0
    Mean Min (°C) 12.1 12.4 11.7 10.0 8.7 7.2 6.6 6.6 7.6 8.2 9.6 10.7 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 46.9 55.3 53.0 52.6 70.1 76.7 77.4 87.9 70.9 69.2 56.3 56.8 772.7
    Mean Rain Days 12.2 12.5 15.4 16.9 18.4 19.8 20.5 20.5 18.6 19.1 15.1 15.1 194.8