Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for South East forecast district
Issued at 04:14 AM EST on Thursday 25 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
South East forecast district
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and strong westerly winds are expected during Thursday. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the South East forecast district. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Thursday.
Forecast
Cape Bruny (43.4913°S, 147.1421°E, 88m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 13° windy with showers Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:27am EST 6:56am EST 5:22pm EST 5:51pm EST NOW11.2° Feels Like: -1.3° Relative Humidity: 70% Dew: 5.9° Wind: W 59km/h Gust: 82km/h Rainfall since 9am: 1.6mm Pressure: 1014.3hPa -
Today Weather
Cape BrunyNow12.0°cFeels Like:5.8°Wind:W 26km/hGusts:35km/hHumidity:61%9°Min13°MaxToday in Cape BrunyCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 35 to 50 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 15.Tomorrow10°Min16°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the far S, most likely in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 35 to 50 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 15.
Forecast for Cape Bruny (43.4913°S, 147.1421°E, 88m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 9° 10° 10° 10° 9° 8° 9° Maximum 13° 16° 17° 18° 13° 13° 14° Chance of rain 60% 20% 10% 60% 50% 70% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 50
(km/h)48
(km/h)32
(km/h)32
(km/h)17
(km/h)12
(km/h)24
(km/h)20
(km/h)39
(km/h)44
(km/h)46
(km/h)44
(km/h)34
(km/h)34
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW W WSW NNW W N N W WSW WSW WSW SW SW Relative humidity 70% 68% 74% 66% 72% 61% 69% 58% 68% 60% 66% 64% 74% 68% Dew point 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Cape Bruny Rain Forecast
Cape Bruny 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Cape Bruny Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 208.2 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 2111.3 °C 19.3 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2210.7 °C 19.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 2310.9 °C 21.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 247.8 °C 13.9 °C 5.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Cape Bruny minimum temp history (43.4913°S, 147.1421°E, 88m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.4° 06/04/2024 Coldest this month 7.8° 24/04/2024 Hottest on record 27.0 02/04/2002 Coldest on record 2.5 14/04/1998 Hottest this year 37.1° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 7.8° 24/04/2024 Long term average 16.7° Long term average 10.0° Average this month 17.3° Average this month 10.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.8° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.8° 2006 Cape Bruny rainfall history (43.4913°S, 147.1421°E, 88m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 12.6mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 34.0mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 56.4mm 16.6 days Wettest April on record 96.6mm 2006 Driest on record 26.2mm 2002 -
Year to Date
Cape Bruny Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 207.1mm 56.4 day(s) Total For 2024 133.4mm 49.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 173.2mm 52.0 day(s) Wettest Day 20.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 7.8°C Apr24 Highest Temperature 37.1°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Cape Bruny Climatology
Cape Bruny Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 20.2 20.1 18.8 16.7 14.4 12.5 12.2 12.9 14.5 15.5 17.0 18.6 16.1 Mean Min (°C) 12.3 12.3 11.7 10.0 8.7 7.3 6.6 6.6 7.5 8.2 9.7 10.7 9.3 Mean Rain (mm) 43.0 52.5 55.2 56.4 69.4 75.3 72.5 87.0 68.6 70.4 55.7 55.9 766.2 Mean Rain Days 11.8 12.6 15.4 16.6 18.7 19.8 20.6 20.8 19.2 19.0 15.4 14.7 205.0